TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Yes6c52,066$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.943348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes21c15,082$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,167.252642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.978944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c6,315$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.771,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No79c2,848$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.0821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No79c2,714$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.942751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No79c2,578$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No79c2,185$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.852259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb450…eaefbacked Yes23c2,183$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes21c1,831$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.566141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c1,653$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed No79c1,595$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes22c1,530$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe073…9959backed Yes21c1,414$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No79c1,381$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.016100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No79c1,070$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.78254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No79c1,062$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.373946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No78c893.72$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.536443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No79c856.16$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2718351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e4…b195backed Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes21c717.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.581225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes17c662.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.69046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed No79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes16c589.71$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6824349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No79c536.53$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0229637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Yes21c499.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…1d11backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c429.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6645233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yes21c399.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed No78c367$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c13…9013backed No79c351$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No78c327.52$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6222745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No80c282.49$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.510640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Yes22c278.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No79c271.31$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.981741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No80c263.54$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.485860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes21c220.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.344934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c220.03$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No79c194$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.74875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c193.66$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.626041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes17c140$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes20c138$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes10c132.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.969535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3642…757dbacked No79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c129$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No79c128.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cb…950ebacked No78c128.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.23757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked No79c118.41$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No79c114$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.832556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No78c99.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Yes20c99.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb371…472abacked Yes22c72.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No79c69.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No79c67.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No80c57.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.723764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No78c57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5446450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f6…6e6fbacked No79c55.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…e279backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked No79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d9…df51backed No80c31.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ed…a4f5backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed No79c27.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.85560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No79c25.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb830…b4debacked No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No79c20.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd69…82f7backed No80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No79c18.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.85651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df4…bbc4backed No79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No79c15.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bba…161abacked No79c15.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6968…447bbacked No79c14.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No79c14.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0617…08d9backed No79c12.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.