Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3be69b9da8a0c077d5bbcbc4252a6e1e0f24671590e866ebf1ce9688f21c00a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 4,928$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 33c | 4,343$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 33c | 945.5$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.08 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 79c | 913.02$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 35c | 860.03$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 65c | 715$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 37c | 683.35$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 66c | 608.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked No | 41c | 568.29$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 68c | 501$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 425.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 22c | 397.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 65c | 337.69$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 61c | 336.69$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 34c | 336.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 63c | 323$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…b40dbacked Yes | 63c | 317.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Yes | 63c | 233.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 35c | 206.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 177.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…51e8backed Yes | 72c | 168.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 64c | 156.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 21c | 156.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 31c | 112.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 35c | 108.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 66c | 104.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Yes | 65c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 65c | 99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Yes | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 38c | 78.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x302d…d991backed No | 33c | 78.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 67.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 76c | 65.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 31c | 64.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 31c | 58.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 68c | 58.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 56.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 31c | 52.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 36c | 43.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 35c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 68c | 42.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…627bbacked Yes | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 31c | 33.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed No | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 61c | 32.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…0c84backed Yes | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 68c | 27.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Yes | 69c | 27.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…da10backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Yes | 69c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…38c7backed Yes | 62c | 22.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 65c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…5f18backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 68c | 15.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Dundee FC win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.