TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$903,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,015,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $903,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 540 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes56c241,149$133,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,927.352560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c139,997$79,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,466.7613839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No45c100,000$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,0006940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No47c57,239$26,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,533.578941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c34,415$15,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,258.4468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No44c30,944$13,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,444.815752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No43c20,452$8,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,657.4521548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c17,150$7,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,775.56033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No44c16,767$7,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,389.422744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c16,421$7,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,314.993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No66c15,771$10,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,318.171275%9 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+120.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No47c14,839$6,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,850.7430828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes40c11,945$4,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,822.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Yes48c10,776$5,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,172.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+109.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c10,395$7,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.542,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No49c10,210$5,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,161.95738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Yes12c10,173$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.723023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7001926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No43c9,000$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1304351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No44c8,789$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,921.678354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c8,117$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,545.440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No44c7,973$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No44c7,750$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.951241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No44c7,731$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,329.476165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No44c7,413$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,151.132240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No45c6,625$2,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.761030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No44c6,403$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,585.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4203354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No44c5,798$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.14971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes56c4,974$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.586845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c4,475$3,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.761,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c4,422$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes3c4,253$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.043847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes56c4,249$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.483641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c4,077$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.3149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes56c4,064$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.681233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes10c3,776$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.4680%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes25c3,767$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.63938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes56c3,681$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes13c3,645$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No44c3,492$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.471369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick39cpaid+86.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes56c3,477$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes56c3,477$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes57c3,468$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.3410650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No44c3,443$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.219950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes56c3,408$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.2624939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No44c3,382$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.146365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes29c3,361$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.143754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes3c3,176$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2916819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7107332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71015946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6806142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No52c2,914$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.472864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No44c2,899$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.555862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked No44c2,879$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.481030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes56c2,849$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No44c2,698$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.994146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed No45c2,579$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c2,521$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.8122743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes56c2,467$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.213040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c2,432$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed No43c2,395$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No43c2,288$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.161190.9%10 W · 1 L+6.1wins+0.56per pick35cpaid+161.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes9c2,240$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Yes21c2,210$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.03922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No44c2,138$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.145347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed No47c2,120$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No44c2,048$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.7136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No44c2,005$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.7914258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes2c1,974$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+355.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No44c1,966$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.775160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes21c1,942$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.622025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd49…03b8backed Yes51c1,915$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.411435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes52c1,912$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.5426241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed No44c1,901$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.591450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes23c1,761$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3411053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No44c1,752$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.173754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No44c1,619$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.4243058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yes15c1,583$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No44c1,506$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.155431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes28c1,486$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x327a…7924backed No44c1,452$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3188…870bbacked Yes45c1,384$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes45c1,367$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.912138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes7c1,349$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No69c1,301$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.264959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42ff…6ecebacked Yes56c1,280$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.8640%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes55c1,260$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.0741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No44c1,256$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.546369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No44c1,256$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.546170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No44c1,162$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No44c1,111$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.361560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No43c1,100$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6274860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No44c1,091$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.7717744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Yes47c1,051$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes20c1,041$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.111428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No43c1,003$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.521877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5705259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.