TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe87…6fc0backed No76c15,669$11,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.313852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3007160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No74c4,372$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No76c4,234$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.214553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes23c4,161$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes27c3,960$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.054148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes24c3,926$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.273951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c3,260$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.461,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c3,179$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.5693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c3,099$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.1541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No74c2,944$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.529950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c2,869$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.942,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No71c2,770$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.482867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c2,570$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c2,222$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4416032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c1,629$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes1c1,533$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.992711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+233.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes25c1,177$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes20c1,099$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No75c1,094$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3913839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes2c1,027$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8710242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes21c1,015$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5312731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes24c999.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c976.86$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes27c851.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.031346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c840.79$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.167763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes24c787.52$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1410757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No65c768.1$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.757135.2%25 W · 46 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes18c756.38$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.795244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No51c709.6$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5416819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Yes25c708.17$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.892268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes20c657.61$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes30c638.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.680%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes21c597.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.98617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes21c571.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes24c566.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7922743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c549$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes25c472.6$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.153129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed No71c415.18$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee5…9ac2backed Yes12c406.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c394.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6919952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No76c394.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6914752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No64c394.23$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9221058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.56822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.53141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No69c380$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.812350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No74c379.45$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes25c356.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.124639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes21c355.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.285547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes27c355.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.611020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c319.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.88644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8613658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Yes26c294.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed No67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes22c285.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.86119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick33cpaid-74.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes26c283$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.585642.9%24 W · 32 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.161258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No79c250.56$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1314159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes18c243.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.713625%9 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9761…9070backed Yes30c223.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.061040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c200.93$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3620749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c200.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes25c198.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.382934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes26c195.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8215844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes26c191.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.691637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+144.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c188.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2826241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes26c183.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7815259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No73c180.53$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2315050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8412946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d4…aa98backed Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79f5…6710backed Yes26c161.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf269…fa23backed Yes26c158.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Yes27c152.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No65c150.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3910549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes24c144.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes20c142.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.565038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes16c141.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.037837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes26c137.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7911260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes23c124.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes24c119.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.633345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes36c116.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Yes19c111$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes20c106.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes25c102.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes18c99.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes25c99.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.761020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed No76c98.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.65875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2eb…469fbacked No75c98.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.