TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,181 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes42c50,987$21,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,394.5115647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c39,542$15,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,460.793,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No61c31,535$19,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,346.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No59c28,739$16,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,903.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c17,834$7,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,048.597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes28c16,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No59c13,500$7,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,551.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c13,206$8,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,507.3147748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c11,706$6,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,762.0425149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No57c9,041$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,885.9221547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No57c9,017$5,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No61c8,056$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes42c7,110$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.6512451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed No69c4,897$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No64c3,490$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.45054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes39c3,410$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.959151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c2,789$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.721,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes39c2,610$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.418845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9005251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No64c2,050$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74331834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No58c1,928$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No57c1,830$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.91471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No75c1,804$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.377044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1038…fd48backed Yes33c1,692$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c1,471$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0145140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No57c1,140$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.5910255.9%57 W · 45 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No68c1,129$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5126050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes37c1,112$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.6515341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No58c1,050$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4414252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No58c998.65$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes22c954.71$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.861118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes35c946.02$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.027334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No61c900$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No58c866.67$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c847.8$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No67c843.52$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.521127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c812.01$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0621545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Yes25c804.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+74.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No67c801.93$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7115144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes44c779$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.764932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No63c704.08$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.532857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c664.86$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes43c628.15$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2586155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes21c477.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c476.2$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed No57c465$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b7…cef9backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No61c450$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1746256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No73c440.96$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes39c426$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.144949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1649957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c391.94$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes39c390.44$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9813950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed No58c379.31$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes14c368.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c351$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2823643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11419657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed No58c297.47$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked No58c280$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Yes41c253.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c222.87$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c213.83$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No61c203.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes31c196.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes43c182.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.723426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed No58c181.69$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes40c180.7$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes37c177.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.981,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed No58c176.72$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes25c172$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No61c155.26$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2213046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed No58c155.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No64c152.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.519740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed No58c145.9$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked No58c142.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5b…d168backed Yes44c140.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6275…4e76backed Yes44c137.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes34c136.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.818251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes34c132.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1728721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No72c131.84$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.484967.3%33 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed No58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.31785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes12c127.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.313151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No56c123.21$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Yes41c122.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.741540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed No58c121.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.