TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$798,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,716 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No14c55,575$7,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,780.499856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No13c55,000$6,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,950.0820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No10c37,993$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.0631944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No12c30,929$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.1610236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No14c29,107$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0759141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No13c28,460$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.378453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No13c23,629$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.173759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No14c15,491$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.9820758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No10c9,723$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.161,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked No14c8,415$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No11c5,568$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.41,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes73c5,278$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.671978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No12c4,796$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.152,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed No31c4,781$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No11c4,529$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.173450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d60…9cf6backed No13c3,796$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No18c3,762$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.8131747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No21c3,699$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.732,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No13c3,435$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.389532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No10c3,050$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No8c2,970$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.619239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No16c2,855$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.517048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No13c2,647$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.113138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No9c2,494$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No12c2,383$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.981,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes77c2,242$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9192…92acbacked No13c2,010$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No27c1,999$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.741,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No12c1,825$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8275850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No12c1,781$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.610679.2%84 W · 22 L+23.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No17c1,759$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes70c1,713$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.559373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No19c1,279$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9833753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Yes72c1,251$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.311650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No15c1,220$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3527141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c1,196$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.876,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No10c1,176$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No11c1,061$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.681,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked No11c1,002$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.223339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes79c1,000$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21513944.6%62 W · 77 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c943.72$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes72c886.31$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.33875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No12c840.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8412139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No10c831.17$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed No14c825.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.131838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes67c806.54$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8210144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No10c704.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.235151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked No15c668.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004139%16 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked No22c656.38$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No13c633.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2510540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe58b…d323backed Yes80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No18c605$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5818459.2%109 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes63c585.99$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.814975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No9c509.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.824035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56aa…c754backed Yes78c505.85$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.291833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes78c502.16$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.58958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No12c499.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.994748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes78c481.69$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.78737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Yes80c471.41$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes65c459.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0535347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1726…1ad4backed No12c453.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa073…652dbacked Yes71c424.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.523129%9 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No9c414$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.267844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e31…72debacked No13c410$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked No37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No5c364.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.314835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c2…b8b5backed Yes71c361.96$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.971435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed No14c351.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No6c333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9815233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f2…66e2backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No28c306.92$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.948062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a9b…2f9ebacked Yes80c298.28$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.662445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Yes75c266.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad8b…aa8dbacked Yes77c259.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.931560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Yes64c248.97$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.631384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+42.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4a1…4adcbacked Yes72c236.11$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No11c230$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.36043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No12c224$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.74452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35c…323ebacked Yes80c215.4$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes73c213$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9611549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes70c203$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.31855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6213651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4423325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf288…3c08backed No13c199.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.461729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x148b…1894backed Yes73c199.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Yes79c180.43$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.891040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No14c179.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8410448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes66c175.59$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.72171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No10c171.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.196240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2510757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254040%16 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes66c153.82$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.37869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.