Premier League · resolved market
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590da2f4302c8e2a0b9da7101a3e44b136e92457435396f7bf8d7aa2492e838e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,226 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 7c | 50,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 9c | 25,293$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.52 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 20,684$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.82 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 9c | 8,554$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.54 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 4c | 7,024$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 5,300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 4c | 4,944$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,610$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.01 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…ac78backed Yes | 4c | 4,120$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 3c | 4,067$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,949$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 7c | 3,123$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 2,528$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 10c | 2,387$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,329$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 2,291$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 1,909$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…570ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,578$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 3c | 1,175$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 6c | 1,129$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,027$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,021$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 3c | 825.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…6051backed Yes | 5c | 817$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 3c | 788.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 3c | 719.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…4122backed Yes | 7c | 686.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 8c | 652.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Yes | 8c | 639.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 3c | 636.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 9c | 577.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Yes | 9c | 561.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…f289backed Yes | 7c | 555.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 3c | 509$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 2c | 470.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…652dbacked Yes | 3c | 466.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 3c | 461.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9566…a792backed Yes | 3c | 425.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…48b6backed Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 8c | 397.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 3c | 374.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…b176backed Yes | 6c | 363.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 4c | 329.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 4c | 325.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes | 9c | 290.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 7c | 281.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…5087backed Yes | 5c | 214$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…b882backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 6c | 176.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.