TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,505,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,704,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,505,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 737 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa136…97debacked Yes64c268,823$173,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,158.08560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes63c161,328$101,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,410.8819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No36c125,000$44,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,002.320140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No36c81,955$29,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,451.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No35c74,345$26,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,324.4813748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No36c63,333$22,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,647.413148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No35c51,237$17,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,304.099141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c47,200$17,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,193.0631944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes65c38,462$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed Yes59c30,312$17,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,909.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c29,853$10,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,284.212,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes62c26,713$16,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,561.9810848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No39c26,500$10,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,164.937448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No35c25,000$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,25012847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No36c20,716$7,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,205.872560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No37c19,998$7,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,587.624146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No39c18,603$7,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,347.986261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c18,220$10,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,460.926,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c17,968$6,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,054.41,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes58c17,870$10,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,361.3388635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No62c17,674$10,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,791.347851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No35c17,234$6,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,201.9213353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No37c15,402$5,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,701.3735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes65c15,385$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c14,449$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,249.712,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No35c14,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,099.8911149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No36c12,670$4,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,111.673145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No35c12,350$4,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,027.53240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No39c10,527$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,402.9685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfa…0738backed Yes0c10,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No39c10,299$4,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,282.393745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4005242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed No40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0005145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No35c9,760$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,343.9817745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes52c9,651$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No38c7,500$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.992356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No50c7,338$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.2315470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes64c6,912$4,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,423.5323350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No36c6,665$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,265.591758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No35c6,330$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.52948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No35c6,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes54c5,516$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No39c5,300$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,23310951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No50c5,221$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.362277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Yes63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No39c5,000$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.9215944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No44c4,687$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,617.321,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes61c4,641$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.1725348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No37c4,548$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes50c4,330$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.7374156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c4,275$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.774,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No41c4,035$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.655862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No40c3,935$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3612437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked No36c3,889$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.895442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Yes58c3,621$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes46c3,620$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.9132158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No54c3,484$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.1210053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ddb…b423backed No57c3,375$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes40c3,059$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.593938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes65c3,014$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95910144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9504334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No35c2,880$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.4726319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c2,817$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.8359445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes58c2,580$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No35c2,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.9927752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes62c2,479$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.691560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Yes62c2,256$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.833050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked No60c2,218$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes60c2,217$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33049544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.99949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes65c2,154$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No38c2,054$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.9790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…1351backed No49c2,023$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3009055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2606454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked No45c2,000$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f82…659ebacked No36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes47c2,000$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No39c1,940$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes36c1,896$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.527742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No39c1,798$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.616050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…b6abbacked No38c1,771$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.021741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No49c1,636$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.171090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes64c1,592$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.8976842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes30c1,586$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.388153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked No40c1,574$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.472055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c1,560$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.7753344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Yes64c1,547$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1139…7bf4backed Yes65c1,514$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes40c1,498$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5992748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Yes51c1,424$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72670%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed No36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.896527.7%18 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd9…e5fcbacked No39c1,376$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes42c1,346$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No35c1,332$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.767557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.