TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Yes21c17,410$3,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,753.9738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes30c15,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.942025%5 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No67c14,015$9,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,366.0888635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c10,612$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,644.994,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No79c7,791$6,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,155.0940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c7,671$6,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,059.812,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes51c6,799$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.9518748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No30c6,316$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.3526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c6,243$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.326,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes23c5,435$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,184.782326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes35c5,201$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.5776842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Yes71c5,041$3,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.823348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c4,439$3,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.372,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No79c3,744$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.436737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.436440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No28c3,357$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.917129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes31c3,226$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.8111942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd54…f9c5backed Yes68c2,947$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No34c2,792$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.8713748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked No33c2,281$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.851154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No49c2,139$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.547050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No78c1,792$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.410765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c1,647$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.5253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes63c1,613$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.31,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No78c1,519$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1859254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes22c1,405$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.0222049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No71c1,282$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.262250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No78c1,200$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9368065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No70c1,200$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No78c1,105$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.8815255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes30c1,026$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.911258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes29c1,023$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.458116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No77c1,005$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.7126444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes48c1,001$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.925851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No55c1,001$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.5326548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7806743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.233959%23 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No47c719.6$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.825839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No33c717.14$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.087545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No70c715$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.52875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No79c697$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.1321250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes41c603.18$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.786442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c581.07$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.4369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Yes51c577.37$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes44c514.09$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes29c504.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.882646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes22c498.73$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.348442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec6…0e3abacked Yes48c490.95$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c483.92$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.611,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes30c463.93$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7572142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.551936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad7…49e0backed No34c450$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes78c440.25$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.252941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7817234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No39c425.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.417327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes22c420$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes30c410$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2877736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes55c400.37$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick37cpaid+100.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes37c393.22$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes27c362.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes28c361.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.393240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87bb…42b0backed Yes28c350.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes30c334$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.832345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333435.3%12 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes28c321.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No60c320.66$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.458052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yes23c308.91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.865345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1985238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02a6…2f74backed Yes25c296.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.081050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c285.11$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8459247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No25c269.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.49541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe9…28d0backed Yes31c258.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No58c257.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.018959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No24c235.05$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0651516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde35…4bc8backed Yes23c223.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.011656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15611850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes75c199.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.611755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No40c183.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4922645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No24c168$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3216238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c162.82$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0157150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes30c157$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.929250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes40c153.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Yes80c147.46$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.495100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Yes79c142.24$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No77c121.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.541855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Yes73c120.2$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.454963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No58c109.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5136545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.72850%14 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No77c108$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1612562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ef5…e25cbacked Yes57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.261127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Yes29c104.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes13c102.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.324136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.