Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a90836d8c8adb6803aac110c2650918928b1ac9b4c4f5d7982e09f2b76bc43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,096,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $977,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,096,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 4c | 32,347$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.75 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…39dbbacked Yes | 3c | 26,853$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 1c | 26,604$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.48 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 5c | 19,122$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.83 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…a4ebbacked Yes | 5c | 18,775$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…d597backed Yes | 3c | 17,398$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Yes | 8c | 16,016$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Yes | 6c | 15,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 4c | 15,238$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.39 | 72 | 0%0 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 4c | 15,034$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b5…9102backed Yes | 4c | 14,950$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96cf…94aebacked Yes | 2c | 13,476$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…1737backed Yes | 0c | 12,372$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…17ebbacked Yes | 4c | 12,208$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 9c | 12,000$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.16 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…6497backed Yes | 5c | 11,359$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…2788backed Yes | 6c | 10,681$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…e9c1backed Yes | 5c | 10,191$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 5c | 10,141$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.93 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…75d9backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…6fc4backed Yes | 3c | 9,309$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…a0febacked Yes | 2c | 8,578$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…ca6abacked Yes | 4c | 8,543$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…f251backed Yes | 6c | 8,541$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 4c | 8,507$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.55 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…28e0backed Yes | 8c | 7,816$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…0a5ebacked Yes | 6c | 7,806$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…0b4cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,654$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…c278backed Yes | 7c | 7,617$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 1c | 6,843$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 1c | 6,621$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,561$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 5,751$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.35 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Yes | 4c | 5,477$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…9ee1backed Yes | 4c | 5,405$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 3c | 5,089$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…6923backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 6c | 4,704$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.54 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 2c | 4,516$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…9309backed Yes | 4c | 4,472$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 3c | 4,319$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe571…0265backed Yes | 5c | 4,115$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…8e24backed Yes | 4c | 4,105$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,097$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f14fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,969$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7a…d125backed Yes | 4c | 3,905$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b9…0fc6backed Yes | 3c | 3,796$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…51bcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…9d66backed Yes | 3c | 3,640$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,608$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 7c | 3,529$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af0…ffd8backed Yes | 5c | 3,301$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…c53abacked Yes | 5c | 3,234$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…93babacked Yes | 3c | 3,151$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…1c60backed Yes | 6c | 3,005$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fba…0ec1backed Yes | 6c | 2,982$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…239cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,979$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 4c | 2,815$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8b…1754backed Yes | 1c | 2,743$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…9ddbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,731$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8176…156dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,648$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…5289backed Yes | 2c | 2,645$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a31fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,427$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…2325backed Yes | 4c | 2,400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…98d0backed Yes | 4c | 2,338$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…062ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb030…f3a4backed Yes | 5c | 2,310$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 2,306$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…331bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e9…0983backed Yes | 4c | 2,292$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Yes | 4c | 2,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…df24backed Yes | 5c | 2,251$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f1…bbd8backed Yes | 4c | 2,231$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…8a69backed Yes | 4c | 2,226$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 2c | 2,222$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a0…7563backed Yes | 5c | 2,206$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…2995backed Yes | 2c | 2,181$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -56%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…5245backed Yes | 5c | 2,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…520dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,080$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,013$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…d650backed Yes | 4c | 1,952$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,950$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,942$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…0303backed Yes | 5c | 1,874$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,828$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x680f…c5bfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,793$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…eeb4backed Yes | 6c | 1,770$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…a2dcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,763$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…6c4dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,760$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c5…8732backed Yes | 3c | 1,734$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…32f9backed Yes | 6c | 1,721$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…063cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,668$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes | 5c | 1,612$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…08a1backed Yes | 5c | 1,611$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc26…cc42backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 6c | 1,585$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,576$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,565$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…96d8backed Yes | 6c | 1,508$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.