Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkacz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2aa8dba4054b551888f6aad7edaf18d33642fde8369fd0f313033647b2aab03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hubert Hurkaczof Sebastian Baez, Hubert Hurkacz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sebastian Baez | 24c | 25,901$6,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.63 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Hubert Hurkacz | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 350 | 57.4%201 W · 149 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hubert Hurkacz | 71c | 6,106$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.81 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Sebastian Baez | 64c | 5,050$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.5 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Sebastian Baez | 33c | 3,860$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.69 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hubert Hurkacz | 52c | 2,855$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.49 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 2,701$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.09 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 65c | 2,521$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.39 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sebastian Baez | 54c | 2,300$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.13 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 61c | 2,284$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.3 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 68c | 2,000$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.59 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Hubert Hurkacz | 63c | 1,997$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.26 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Hubert Hurkacz | 69c | 1,994$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.58 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…09f3backed Sebastian Baez | 1c | 1,943$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hubert Hurkacz | 61c | 1,669$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.1 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Sebastian Baez | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 62c | 1,157$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.76 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Baez | 3c | 1,155$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hubert Hurkacz | 72c | 1,070$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.91 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Sebastian Baez | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Sebastian Baez | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 353 | 54.4%192 W · 161 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Hubert Hurkacz | 43c | 970.64$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.64 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Hubert Hurkacz | 75c | 900$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 56c | 889.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.37 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Hubert Hurkacz | 67c | 828.53$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.15 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Hubert Hurkacz | 69c | 796$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hubert Hurkacz | 63c | 794.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Sebastian Baez | 18c | 775.69$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Sebastian Baez | 49c | 756.7$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.45 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hubert Hurkacz | 66c | 748.8$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.06 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Sebastian Baez | 31c | 625.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sebastian Baez | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sebastian Baez | 33c | 569.43$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Hubert Hurkacz | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…7bdebacked Sebastian Baez | 63c | 551.86$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Sebastian Baez | 60c | 493.35$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.01 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 70c | 466.88$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Sebastian Baez | 40c | 450.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.11 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hubert Hurkacz | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 70c | 438.24$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Hubert Hurkacz | 72c | 421.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Sebastian Baez | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hubert Hurkacz | 68c | 415.85$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…a32fbacked Sebastian Baez | 36c | 415.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hubert Hurkacz | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Sebastian Baez | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 597 | 21.8%130 W · 467 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Hubert Hurkacz | 67c | 399.36$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Sebastian Baez | 52c | 386.81$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +16.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 75c | 355.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sebastian Baez | 30c | 354.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Sebastian Baez | 48c | 320.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sebastian Baez | 47c | 304.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Sebastian Baez | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hubert Hurkacz | 56c | 285.88$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 68c | 277.66$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Sebastian Baez | 41c | 262.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hubert Hurkacz | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Hubert Hurkacz | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Sebastian Baez | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Hubert Hurkacz | 77c | 224.8$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1,030 | 50%515 W · 515 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Sebastian Baez | 41c | 201.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Hubert Hurkacz | 49c | 193.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Sebastian Baez | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 613 | 41.8%256 W · 357 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 188$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hubert Hurkacz | 70c | 175.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Sebastian Baez | 41c | 173.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Baez | 36c | 165$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Hubert Hurkacz | 40c | 164.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Hubert Hurkacz | 74c | 162.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 278 | 67.3%187 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sebastian Baez | 37c | 159.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 492 | 51.6%254 W · 238 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 65c | 158.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f99…fcedbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Sebastian Baez | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sebastian Baez | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a7a3backed Hubert Hurkacz | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sebastian Baez | 30c | 143$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sebastian Baez | 33c | 143$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…8fa3backed Sebastian Baez | 31c | 132.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sebastian Baez | 30c | 131.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sebastian Baez | 40c | 131$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…fae7backed Hubert Hurkacz | 72c | 121.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Sebastian Baez | 46c | 117.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Sebastian Baez | 45c | 114.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Sebastian Baez | 61c | 112.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Sebastian Baez | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Sebastian Baez | 55c | 108.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 348 | 54.3%189 W · 159 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sebastian Baez | 34c | 108.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Sebastian Baez | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 904 | 35.7%323 W · 581 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Sebastian Baez | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Hubert Hurkacz | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Sebastian Baez | 28c | 94.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 248 | 39.9%99 W · 149 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Hubert Hurkacz | 70c | 91.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Hubert Hurkacz | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Sebastian Baez | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 322 | 46.9%151 W · 171 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd9…4d51backed Sebastian Baez | 32c | 78.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Sebastian Baez | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Sebastian Baez | 32c | 75.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Baez vs HurkaczBaez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.