TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Lloyd Harris

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Lloyd Harris
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Alex Michelsen78c8,294$6,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.668666.3%57 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lloyd Harris7c6,951$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.993,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Lloyd Harris18c4,444$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Lloyd Harris17c1,629$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.6937230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lloyd Harris20c1,560$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.178,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Michelsen76c1,459$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.014,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alex Michelsen76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7994068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2510…7a97backed Lloyd Harris26c1,202$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.217622.4%17 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Lloyd Harris24c1,150$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0617931.8%57 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e03…3f5fbacked Lloyd Harris11c1,042$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.252429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Lloyd Harris1c999.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lloyd Harris14c904.06$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.598,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Lloyd Harris24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Lloyd Harris25c798$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.517649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lloyd Harris13c783.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.82,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Lloyd Harris12c628.56$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.822,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Michelsen72c486$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.087,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lloyd Harris21c482$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.526,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Lloyd Harris25c477.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.491,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Alex Michelsen74c475.32$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5835360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Lloyd Harris26c399.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6760342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x452f…9b78backed Lloyd Harris26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.562839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Alex Michelsen75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Lloyd Harris25c332.86$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2216636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Alex Michelsen78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.512462.5%15 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Lloyd Harris26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7091754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Lloyd Harris24c253.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8140935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lloyd Harris12c204$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.054,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Lloyd Harris26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5184…1363backed Alex Michelsen76c198.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.121681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Michelsen75c192.48$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.124,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Lloyd Harris6c187.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5430931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Alex Michelsen75c180.77$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7759366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Lloyd Harris9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.538911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed Lloyd Harris14c147.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9414732.7%48 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Lloyd Harris24c144.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.657146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Alex Michelsen75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3371857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Alex Michelsen75c133$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2530746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Lloyd Harris10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371021.3%151 W · 559 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Michelsen74c125$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Alex Michelsen75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3026253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked Alex Michelsen75c119.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9413850.7%70 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd1…f311backed Lloyd Harris26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025551%130 W · 125 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Alex Michelsen75c106.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.732,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5018…1735backed Lloyd Harris26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Lloyd Harris26c92.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6318542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…f431backed Lloyd Harris17c86.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.873148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca1…2f58backed Lloyd Harris18c84.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Lloyd Harris24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99b…984dbacked Alex Michelsen76c82.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.752142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Lloyd Harris25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6847…f1eabacked Alex Michelsen74c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4213770.1%96 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71b…f36fbacked Alex Michelsen75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Alex Michelsen75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6711559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf433…efd3backed Lloyd Harris24c62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153129%9 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked Alex Michelsen75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Lloyd Harris27c56.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Lloyd Harris19c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Alex Michelsen80c52.66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6611462.3%71 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Alex Michelsen73c51.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.990152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Lloyd Harris25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.593945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Lloyd Harris25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e3…7982backed Lloyd Harris30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.889722.7%22 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Lloyd Harris26c46.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Lloyd Harris25c41.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeedc…d4c0backed Alex Michelsen75c40.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0114870.3%104 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Lloyd Harris25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Alex Michelsen74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.841,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Alex Michelsen68c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.241,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef9…aa36backed Alex Michelsen76c29.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.087951.9%41 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Alex Michelsen72c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.842,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a3…c1e3backed Alex Michelsen75c27.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.771782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd940…e682backed Alex Michelsen75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.673447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Alex Michelsen76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3270456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…ac0cbacked Alex Michelsen75c25.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Alex Michelsen74c25.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.531,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe520…e4e3backed Alex Michelsen75c21.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.45166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c55…3408backed Alex Michelsen76c20.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.879162.6%57 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Alex Michelsen74c19.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1950340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Alex Michelsen74c19.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.961,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Alex Michelsen77c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3797852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…32a7backed Alex Michelsen75c17.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3316372.4%118 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alex Michelsen71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.865,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Alex Michelsen74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.919064.7%123 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.