Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6d48bd18a8891808ee4b1c812d2d58121e259edf13e2cf1202e7e2a67d2220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 12c | 9,544$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.79 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 62c | 3,961$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.03 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 2,521$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.48 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,340$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 1,658$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 572.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 11c | 436.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 26c | 387.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 360.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 320.51$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 11c | 304.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 221.78$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 57c | 130.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…1388backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…f651backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 15c | 108.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 38c | 106.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 95.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 92.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 70.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 74c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 27c | 42.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…92e9backed No | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 38.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 44c | 36.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…03c8backed Yes | 57c | 28.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 47c | 27.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Yes | 55c | 27.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 73c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf39…7032backed No | 80c | 13.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.