Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a03e69bdf97bd8114c8b76d57238637779ae4e9ade638728b8cf73d82b22c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 14c | 19,800$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,031.83 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 11c | 4,503$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,012$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.37 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 3,697$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.27 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 2,417$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.29 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 6c | 2,316$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 2,186$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.6 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 34c | 2,039$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.22 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 15c | 1,780$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 30c | 1,731$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.36 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 23c | 1,461$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.34 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 1,349$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.63 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 21c | 1,332$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 55c | 1,075$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.22 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 32c | 848.84$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 816.74$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.21 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 734.05$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.25 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 42c | 695.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 30c | 655.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 40c | 625$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 15c | 625$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Yes | 21c | 618$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112d…19cfbacked Yes | 32c | 600.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 34c | 571.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.66 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 71c | 566.11$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 35c | 528.19$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.32 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 25c | 501.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 47c | 395.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.7 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 359.69$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed No | 56c | 353.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 13c | 311.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 49c | 308.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 43c | 307.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 52c | 300.85$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed No | 55c | 299.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 55c | 267.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.19 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…5052backed Yes | 45c | 261.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 37c | 228.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 76c | 226.32$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 73c | 217$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 216.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 203.7$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +88%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 20c | 197.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 190.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 19c | 189.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 44c | 173.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 62c | 158.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 36c | 157.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 25c | 155.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…f651backed Yes | 20c | 139.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 26c | 134.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 44c | 124.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 21c | 123.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 79c | 114.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 75c | 101.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed No | 55c | 101$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…2c1abacked No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 37c | 93.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 44c | 90.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 26c | 83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 75c | 79.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 39c | 76.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 20c | 76.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 44c | 73.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 25c | 68.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 26c | 65.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…2cd4backed Yes | 37c | 64.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 56c | 63.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 55c | 60.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 55c | 53.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…916abacked Yes | 34c | 53.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 66c | 53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…92e9backed No | 79c | 51.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Yes | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 56c | 46.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 76c | 43.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.