Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb095a556268b5d8ef5dbf28782790d36e5cb351289fcc5e615461abfc42131a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Filsof Arthur Fils, Alex de Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $752,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $912,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $752,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Alex de Minaur | 36c | 124,798$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Arthur Fils | 61c | 55,000$33,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,334.33 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Arthur Fils | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,249.99 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Arthur Fils | 79c | 23,146$18,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.1 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…01b7backed Alex de Minaur | 0c | 20,140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…1aedbacked Alex de Minaur | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alex de Minaur | 39c | 18,855$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.43 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…842abacked Arthur Fils | 59c | 17,270$10,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,064.46 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Arthur Fils | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.95 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Alex de Minaur | 39c | 13,999$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.82 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Arthur Fils | 61c | 12,364$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.83 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Arthur Fils | 58c | 11,996$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.97 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Arthur Fils | 62c | 10,015$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.77 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 9,968$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.96 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Arthur Fils | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Arthur Fils | 61c | 7,185$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.61 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Alex de Minaur | 39c | 6,236$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.03 | 216 | 38%82 W · 134 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex de Minaur | 16c | 5,419$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…196bbacked Alex de Minaur | 38c | 5,266$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.07 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Fils | 64c | 5,071$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Arthur Fils | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex de Minaur | 39c | 4,734$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Arthur Fils | 59c | 4,701$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.23 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Arthur Fils | 52c | 4,098$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa171…f921backed Alex de Minaur | 33c | 3,956$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Alex de Minaur | 42c | 3,351$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Arthur Fils | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Arthur Fils | 70c | 3,200$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.45 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Alex de Minaur | 39c | 3,110$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.9 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex de Minaur | 28c | 3,022$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…0dd9backed Arthur Fils | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Fils | 74c | 2,994$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.82 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Alex de Minaur | 39c | 2,959$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.01 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Alex de Minaur | 39c | 2,930$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.7 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Arthur Fils | 62c | 2,804$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.52 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Alex de Minaur | 29c | 2,731$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 2,708$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.16 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Alex de Minaur | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Alex de Minaur | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Alex de Minaur | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 2,434$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.95 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Arthur Fils | 60c | 2,242$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alex de Minaur | 6c | 2,167$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Alex de Minaur | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Arthur Fils | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Alex de Minaur | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alex de Minaur | 29c | 1,997$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.35 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arthur Fils | 65c | 1,848$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.22 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Arthur Fils | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9120backed Arthur Fils | 61c | 1,626$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 1,613$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.83 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Alex de Minaur | 19c | 1,600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 1,535$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.11 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Alex de Minaur | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Alex de Minaur | 7c | 1,449$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Alex de Minaur | 2c | 1,445$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alex de Minaur | 4c | 1,416$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 1,404$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.8 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Alex de Minaur | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Arthur Fils | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 104 | 70.2%73 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Alex de Minaur | 38c | 1,291$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.74 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Alex de Minaur | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…663ebacked Alex de Minaur | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Fils | 73c | 1,216$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.27 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Arthur Fils | 69c | 1,175$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Arthur Fils | 62c | 1,168$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.97 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Arthur Fils | 66c | 1,147$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.91 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Arthur Fils | 61c | 1,141$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.37 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alex de Minaur | 28c | 1,119$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.1 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6f57backed Alex de Minaur | 24c | 1,052$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Alex de Minaur | 20c | 1,050$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Alex de Minaur | 43c | 1,028$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.9 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Alex de Minaur | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Alex de Minaur | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…d7a0backed Alex de Minaur | 2c | 999.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Arthur Fils | 61c | 957.95$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.81 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Arthur Fils | 62c | 945.53$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.3 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Alex de Minaur | 39c | 887.7$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Alex de Minaur | 20c | 850$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Alex de Minaur | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Arthur Fils | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Arthur Fils | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alex de Minaur | 26c | 805.86$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.71 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alex de Minaur | 42c | 796.45$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.16 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Arthur Fils | 62c | 788.32$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.56 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Alex de Minaur | 39c | 739.82$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Arthur Fils | 59c | 714.52$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.81 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Arthur Fils | 61c | 700$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Arthur Fils | 60c | 699.99$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Alex de Minaur | 31c | 665.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Alex de Minaur | 35c | 662.82$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Arthur Fils | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alex de Minaur | 39c | 647.02$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Arthur Fils | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Arthur Fils | 62c | 643.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arthur Fils | 60c | 616.25$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Alex de Minaur | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed Arthur Fils | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Fils vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Fils vs MinaurFils won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)Fils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.