TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No1c30,949$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.151,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No0c10,200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes55c8,172$4,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,718.1399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed No60c3,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes57c3,073$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.2513952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes50c2,901$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.126339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes53c2,459$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.159239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes38c2,452$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.52540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c2,400$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.6170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No62c2,145$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.749268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes39c2,080$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.835550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes53c2,025$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.596341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No50c1,913$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.5210273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes57c1,863$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.7698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No23c1,834$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.716437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes38c1,816$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.0417740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No43c1,773$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.561,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No62c1,579$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.5272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No52c1,457$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.925068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes38c1,265$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.413751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No34c1,160$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.517244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No43c1,014$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.811,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No46c893.78$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.541,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No62c868.47$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.639435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked No40c817.5$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3272133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c765.36$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.623,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No49c750$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.516159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes36c708.33$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.333948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No9c654.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2144447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No9c621.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.836646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd19…3f54backed Yes34c599.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+195.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26087154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes41c425.68$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5812654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No43c419.77$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes35c399.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.984445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No41c326.01$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5619641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No16c323.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.359540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No61c303.3$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.013060%18 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No43c258.09$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No17c257.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.046232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No44c252.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No40c235.25$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.942040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c231.92$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes60c211.17$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.477460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes77c206.01$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed No62c203.87$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No65c190.71$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.962568%17 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No52c189.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.996352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.811963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked No41c173.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.051118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes37c169.07$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes64c167.58$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No50c147.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.062810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes57c142.37$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.887953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No59c140.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.863551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No59c138.54$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.741450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.581643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Yes36c131$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+78.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2110243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c125.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed No59c123.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03fd…2cd4backed Yes69c119.08$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes38c114$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.689944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes61c112.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1225652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No37c110.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.868344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes51c108.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6716657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes39c105.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.131450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+73.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.077341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed No35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes56c97.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.344868.8%33 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No46c88.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Yes80c87$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No43c83.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4996756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Yes63c83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.713928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No39c82.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes41c81.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5822841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes50c80.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.836460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1786…f02cbacked No44c77.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…37d2backed Yes64c73.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No62c72.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No40c72.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8612551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes58c70.65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.677659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.442161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32d…23b4backed Yes46c57.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bf…922abacked Yes42c56.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes52c54.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe67c…5e1cbacked Yes42c54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.88568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…8cd5backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes40c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.