Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58148b358657ad8087aaa3c1d28c19089616aecffa117c13270d399515d575d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,191$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 7c | 1,413$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 75c | 1,078$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 25c | 932.66$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 8c | 910.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 664$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 7c | 634.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 3c | 598$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 429.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 341.79$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 74c | 320$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 26c | 320$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 76c | 298$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 25c | 290$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 251.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 201.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 77c | 159.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 21c | 157.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 157.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 144.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 73c | 143.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 16c | 138.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 131.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 10c | 126.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 10c | 121.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 116.02$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 114$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 21c | 111.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 25c | 102.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 20c | 102.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked No | 75c | 101.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 25c | 100.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 75c | 94.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed No | 68c | 88.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 83.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 26c | 81.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 24c | 76.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…27d2backed No | 77c | 65.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 26c | 63.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 60.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca7…d4ebbacked Yes | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 23c | 52.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…8b8cbacked Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…22a5backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 74c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…050dbacked No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…be99backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed No | 78c | 23.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…d59bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 76c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.