TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$615,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$714,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes72c54,896$39,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,776.6813839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes72c42,000$30,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,209.985154.9%28 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes64c35,709$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No23c28,087$6,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,718.649950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No18c25,159$4,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,746.032536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No29c23,421$6,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,687.688941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No23c23,130$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,750.16429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No25c20,644$5,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,482.865349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes78c16,225$12,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,633.1668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes76c15,961$12,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,101.6812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c15,939$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,406.671,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No28c15,177$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,906.112653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No28c14,111$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,159.653345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No21c13,377$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,578.395641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes78c12,441$9,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,692.61872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No29c12,006$3,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,491.095459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No27c11,558$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,453.385347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No9c11,200$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,160.31136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No35c10,865$3,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,062.2831738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No28c10,845$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,808.361752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No28c9,433$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,791.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+66.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No19c7,395$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,990.081442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No31c6,056$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.6649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No20c5,005$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.6430828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked No34c4,999$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.153243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No20c4,960$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9682240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x106e…e672backed No33c4,920$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+251.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes70c4,703$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No28c4,590$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.752138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes71c4,504$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2004647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes71c4,113$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90010451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No37c3,666$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.4222743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes76c3,656$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.232356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No38c3,359$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.292951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No28c3,303$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.94247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No22c3,200$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4961450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed No23c3,200$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes67c2,986$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes78c2,968$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.992781.5%22 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No28c2,800$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes74c2,633$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes77c2,597$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No36c2,559$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.266132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No25c2,520$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.7536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No23c2,419$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.6539740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes76c2,392$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.8224953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bc5…28a8backed Yes72c2,083$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes72c2,083$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes80c2,023$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No29c1,948$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.193452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed No29c1,811$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.931533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes67c1,779$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.5826241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2895…2c58backed Yes72c1,736$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes80c1,700$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes64c1,688$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaaef…b6abbacked No28c1,668$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.94785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.54per pick32cpaid+173.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes73c1,666$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.8227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes80c1,624$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked No19c1,600$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+205.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes62c1,565$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.045935.6%21 W · 38 L-11.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes67c1,526$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes63c1,504$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.343855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46c…6bc6backed Yes66c1,497$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed No32c1,485$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.67837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c1,425$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.8798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes6c1,391$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.454337.2%16 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+285.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Yes72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe473…755abacked Yes73c1,354$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.351145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No24c1,331$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.56933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No35c1,318$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.6541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No63c1,280$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.9511053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No19c1,189$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.4646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No19c1,189$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.2338547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa195…8c92backed Yes62c1,113$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x837a…0632backed Yes72c1,111$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes72c1,102$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.413553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No24c1,100$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.53141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed No19c1,030$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+120.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes80c1,003$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes71c999.99$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.998552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Yes67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.991050%5 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No9c999.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.981127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes62c998.26$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.923444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes62c967.74$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Yes11c894$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.681668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.28per pick40cpaid+63.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No37c892.14$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.057750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes74c845.17$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes67c838.07$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes73c816.86$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Yes62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes80c762.02$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.3410549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed No18c698.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.883928.2%11 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.