TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,444 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No17c8,132$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3743748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes10c6,151$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,525.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+178.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes14c2,922$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.6426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes19c2,652$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.258033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes14c2,344$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.7698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes16c1,968$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.8734239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes15c1,750$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.7813839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes14c1,739$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.4319952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes75c1,635$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Yes9c1,333$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.331747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No15c1,008$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4622743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa09a…5cb8backed No76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No23c750$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No67c726.84$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.865955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No60c630.54$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.8911053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c625.98$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9822373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes24c598.44$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.8132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes13c519$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5330828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c464.7$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No33c454$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.821020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes12c389.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.112951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.62560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+87.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes23c347.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+117.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c336.27$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7422545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes13c307.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.697248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes65c305.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.592080%16 W · 4 L+6.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+113.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7405…478cbacked Yes27c299.89$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes14c257$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.025446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No23c255.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.662152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed No10c227.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.732330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed No10c224.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-65.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No12c200.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.935058%29 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Yes11c200$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes14c192.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.383145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes12c191$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.08425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes10c190$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed No20c187.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4560%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…f88ebacked Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes78c148.96$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.282060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes26c138$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5820452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No28c135$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.152123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+79%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c100.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1426241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No71c94.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4914442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes20c94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9618253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5673…4926backed No13c87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes16c80.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4313447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes78c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed No27c62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.621040%4 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+141.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No72c32.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5521748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.055139.2%20 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No73c29.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.913141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.