Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x013f872d9cfd81f45a616e7e1a1a4945022db4a417762e687af6f78de0132fad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 67c | 50,243$33,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,680.02 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 40,174$19,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,285.19 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 30,644$8,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,868.83 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 30c | 22,130$6,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,490.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 19,904$11,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,708.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 18,145$7,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,390.21 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 70c | 15,517$10,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,922.74 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 56c | 8,303$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.65 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 29c | 7,984$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,647.72 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 61c | 7,050$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 71c | 5,924$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.53 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…0438backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 31c | 4,231$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.47 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes | 28c | 3,626$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 29c | 3,483$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.94 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,065$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 51c | 2,777$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed No | 61c | 2,754$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.17 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 30c | 2,651$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 69c | 2,526$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 2,267$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.21 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 71c | 2,192$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.32 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 38c | 2,182$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.96 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 58c | 1,868$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.06 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 30c | 1,816$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.31 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 53c | 1,730$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.07 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 1,724$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.67 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 52c | 1,657$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 47c | 1,415$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.63 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked No | 73c | 1,394$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 50c | 1,264$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.34 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,137$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Yes | 64c | 1,087$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 1,066$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.33 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 52c | 1,003$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.45 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 29c | 993$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.03 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4481…1852backed No | 70c | 972.03$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 70c | 936.72$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.7 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed No | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 31c | 827.68$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 826.67$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.39 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 744.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Yes | 60c | 744.27$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 49c | 738.92$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.87 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 30c | 650$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 31c | 633.59$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.41 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 44c | 600$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 53c | 569.1$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.86 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 51c | 519.6$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 53c | 513.42$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.66 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 17c | 499.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 53c | 433.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…7c44backed Yes | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +238.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 398.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…1f85backed Yes | 45c | 364.73$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 28c | 359.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845f…e3b0backed Yes | 11c | 357.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 73c | 342.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 31c | 303.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 50c | 300.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Yes | 54c | 255.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 30c | 250.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes | 72c | 240.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 28c | 223$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Yes | 54c | 214.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…92ffbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…c6b6backed Yes | 64c | 196.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 51c | 191.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…b2d2backed Yes | 19c | 178.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes | 69c | 166.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 54c | 162.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 51c | 162.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Yes | 70c | 161.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 55c | 158.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 69c | 154.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.