Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c6e8297222f7f4efcbbece22610165466b5f025ebe4a0f45d5e50d62924baef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 79c | 4,132$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.9 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…3066backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…ddd2backed Yes | 23c | 809.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…f9d9backed No | 78c | 585.07$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 76c | 439.65$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…542bbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes | 23c | 433.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 22c | 371.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 327.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 327.15$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…87cdbacked Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3b…5ca2backed Yes | 22c | 235.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 12c | 164.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Yes | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9957…0666backed Yes | 16c | 126.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…b772backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 80c | 125.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 121.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 22c | 111.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 23c | 109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 104.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 21c | 100.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 77c | 90.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…424fbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 24c | 83.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…4c4cbacked Yes | 15c | 77.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…be14backed No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 238 | 63.4%151 W · 87 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 22c | 75.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 74.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…6a46backed Yes | 19c | 54.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…9a31backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…0f81backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 76c | 28.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07f2…cddcbacked No | 79c | 26.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…9ac8backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…abb1backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 77c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 79c | 14.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…0529backed No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?this page
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceColombia won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Ghana (-3.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.