TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,506 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf83c…e423backed Yes15c3,235$485 inLost-$485.2310537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…3e33backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes15c949.22$139 inLost-$1394238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes4c680$30 inLost-$3023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c679.86$68 inLost-$68.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Yes14c360$50 inLost-$50.410933%36 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost-$5035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes13c299.99$39 inLost-$3945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…616dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost-$206051.7%31 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdf1…2960backed Yes13c195.83$25 inLost-$2516531.5%52 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db8…ed19backed Yes8c170$14 inLost-$13.61631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost-$2548334.2%165 W · 318 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes15c146.67$22 inLost-$2210040%40 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083f…a55fbacked Yes14c146.56$20 inLost-$203540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c9…424fbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$209840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$1020025.5%51 W · 149 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes9c123.27$11 inLost-$11.0977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes17c120$20 inLost-$20.410952.3%57 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes14c114.29$16 inLost-$167632.9%25 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad1…94a9backed Yes15c106.67$16 inLost-$164427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0094…c496backed Yes15c100$15 inLost-$153026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdbc…2599backed Yes15c93.33$14 inLost-$142227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f0…7bf4backed Yes15c80$12 inLost-$1210646.2%49 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.