TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Over47c3,333$1,567 inLost-$1,566.5132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under53c2,214$1,179 inWon+$1,035.51,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…e8a8backed Under61c1,974$1,200 inWon+$773.95950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over38c1,414$536 inLost-$535.514,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Under64c1,030$659 inWon+$371.478341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b2…735ebacked Over42c329.98$139 inLost-$138.598845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over38c324.22$122 inLost-$121.622,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over40c315.82$126 inLost-$125.521,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c268.68$110 inLost-$109.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Under58c172.41$100 inWon+$72.4125437.4%95 W · 159 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…b8cdbacked Over45c168.13$75 inLost-$757238.9%28 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under56c165.69$92 inWon+$73.512,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Over19c139$27 inLost-$26.6314043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Over48c115.69$56 inLost-$55.5311746.2%54 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over46c107.64$50 inLost-$5024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under58c100$58 inWon+$428560%51 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under63c79$50 inWon+$29.2272247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under52c67.33$35 inWon+$32.3263745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd119…e58dbacked Under53c56.6$30 inWon+$26.68350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under53c52.93$28 inWon+$24.832,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c50$27 inWon+$232,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df7…2048backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost-$153036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Over43c30.02$13 inLost-$1328055%154 W · 126 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under55c29.87$16 inWon+$13.521,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c9…cf06backed Over43c29.19$13 inLost-$12.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c28.73$16 inWon+$12.582,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under54c26.05$14 inWon+$11.882,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under77c25$19 inWon+$5.71,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under77c23$18 inWon+$5.2865036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under75c18$13 inWon+$4.592,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.