TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Colombia (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ghanaof Colombia, Ghana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$459,031
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$457,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,031 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5351…9b3cbacked Colombia19c42,372$8,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,050.658943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Colombia19c40,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,599.976627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colombia20c32,540$6,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,391.631,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Colombia19c26,316$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Colombia15c21,228$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,151.832,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Colombia20c12,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Colombia19c7,405$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.1253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Colombia19c6,650$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.55740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Colombia20c6,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30014250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Ghana78c5,239$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.3218056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Colombia13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65011031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colombia13c2,461$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.382,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Colombia20c2,334$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.12,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Ghana78c2,288$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.7565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Ghana72c2,152$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.1858942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Ghana73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7935244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44da…c794backed Colombia19c1,850$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Colombia18c1,757$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9337223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed Ghana80c1,495$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2997946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colombia18c1,341$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.732,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Colombia21c1,180$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.758746%40 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Colombia18c1,133$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Colombia20c1,110$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Colombia16c1,067$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.791,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Colombia19c1,030$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.648627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Colombia16c1,015$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Ghana73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Colombia19c999.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9926940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Colombia18c999.88$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.981,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Colombia15c914.01$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.21,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Colombia20c913$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.582,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Ghana73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Colombia26c698.36$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colombia20c622.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.561,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Colombia18c617.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2343139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed Colombia20c614.75$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9511238.4%43 W · 69 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Colombia31c604.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4522052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75cc…51a3backed Ghana80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12012032.5%39 W · 81 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Colombia19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11447127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Colombia20c596.53$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8585…eef1backed Colombia23c572.59$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colombia19c509.51$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.313,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Colombia20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Ghana80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cb…9550backed Colombia20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008734.5%30 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ad…1014backed Colombia19c496.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.295219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Colombia13c492.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2818628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ghana80c458.75$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.751,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Colombia17c405.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.021,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Colombia7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.972,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Colombia18c367.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.115846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Colombia21c365.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7338745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Colombia23c349.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7338437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Colombia23c336.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.252,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Colombia19c316.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1223036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Colombia25c308.27$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Colombia19c299.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Colombia27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513540%54 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Ghana68c264$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.481,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e44…f303backed Colombia20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508419%16 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Colombia19c246.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Colombia20c235$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4713943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Ghana76c230.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6395037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Ghana72c216.04$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.111,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ff…8450backed Colombia26c210.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.26016.7%10 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Colombia19c203.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6714035.7%50 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Colombia28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Colombia19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Colombia26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Colombia20c190$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3814425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Ghana67c185.04$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2865036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Ghana71c179.31$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Colombia15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512558.4%73 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc14e…3315backed Colombia29c160.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.455541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Ghana69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.868164.2%52 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Colombia9c159.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.782,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Colombia20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8527…009bbacked Colombia14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x092f…d9fdbacked Colombia20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818553%98 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Ghana80c139$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.887938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Colombia28c135.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9158642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Ghana71c132.35$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Colombia19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Colombia20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Colombia20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Ghana80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2535719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Colombia16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Colombia22c123.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4857541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3c…4985backed Colombia28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x608e…4d65backed Colombia28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308433.3%28 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked Colombia23c105.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.323339.4%13 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+54.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4a4…f9acbacked Colombia27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810345.6%47 W · 56 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x778c…061abacked Colombia28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Colombia20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017227.3%47 W · 125 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Colombia15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515751%80 W · 77 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdffc…377cbacked Colombia20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Colombia20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Colombia16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Ghana67c98.2$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.181,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Colombia20c92.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.