TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,055,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,093,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,055,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 818 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Over41c110,331$45,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,521.5224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Over73c109,539$79,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,963.68955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over74c82,395$61,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,062.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under70c65,003$45,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,254.4274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over63c63,392$39,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,872.471,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c58,840$22,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,390.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under19c51,369$9,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,424.1114250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under26c43,446$11,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,998.0156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under22c40,004$8,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,140.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over19c40,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over29c38,112$10,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,872.9942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under29c35,265$10,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,020.6551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under62c32,511$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,411.452,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe159…d987backed Under22c31,772$6,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,781.871346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under37c31,053$11,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,438.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under40c30,554$12,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,431.8441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over72c29,997$21,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,699.619742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under20c21,893$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,600.7416357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under42c21,509$8,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,545.3344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over48c21,240$10,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,241.8664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under31c20,717$6,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,242.2120731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over73c19,000$13,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,87014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over43c18,238$7,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,842.2127039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under31c17,071$5,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,722.3336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under65c14,987$9,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.2366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under21c14,960$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,746.925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under78c14,553$11,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.5817642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under22c14,300$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,1548931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under26c13,860$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,256.0733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over1c13,333$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6727931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Over74c10,163$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50014347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under16c9,595$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,081.916150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under27c9,400$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,861.9936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c87…08eebacked Over79c8,729$6,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,895.532835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under53c8,577$4,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.7338734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over36c8,549$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.3825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under32c8,397$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,703.4626534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under29c8,294$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,919.3328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under27c8,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,84036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over54c7,826$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,235.9737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over60c7,387$4,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,411.2637944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over45c7,268$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.0736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under22c7,232$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,640.9611558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over80c7,201$5,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,731.829848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under42c6,904$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.242,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Over74c6,780$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005743.9%25 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under41c6,589$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.3544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under14c6,487$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,578.431,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under27c6,444$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,682.661,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under42c6,256$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.6930642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under33c6,066$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,073.1310732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over66c6,058$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9984568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Over39c6,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.9815456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under45c5,800$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.3515929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over51c5,535$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.511,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under37c5,370$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.2113234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under22c5,280$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.45846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under24c5,125$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.859243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Over79c5,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,95010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over72c4,988$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under63c4,786$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.5119649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over20c4,425$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under21c4,400$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4764351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under26c4,389$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.678047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over10c4,317$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.6751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under22c4,250$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,31511348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over79c4,173$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under38c4,156$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.2621946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over61c4,098$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over74c4,073$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00018150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under28c4,013$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.2277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over20c3,993$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.642126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over68c3,924$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.1917827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…15ffbacked Over73c3,780$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.391435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over80c3,495$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.9563544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under16c3,471$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.3758942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over74c3,378$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over71c3,351$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.3939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over68c3,304$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.7325125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under27c3,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,33637850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under58c3,140$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.8211227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under32c3,138$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.816930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over65c3,063$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under13c3,008$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.6911149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,19047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.9748441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over79c2,956$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.5123558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over80c2,876$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over47c2,849$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.7827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over59c2,822$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.996947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under27c2,800$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over72c2,778$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…757dbacked Over73c2,740$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c2,721$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.351,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under22c2,675$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.8435719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ccb…05b3backed Under27c2,645$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.664436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under12c2,600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.044,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over66c2,586$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.8210355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.