Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1deac5cf4534fc0599f46022ab1a5ed2f50f8b9b4dd6ef6dd8356281dba135ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 79c | 16,969$13,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.94 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 13,094$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.06 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 23c | 1,542$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 23c | 1,117$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.59 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…5047backed Over | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 76c | 1,021$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Over | 15c | 999.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 17c | 589.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 76c | 568.85$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 309 | 50.8%157 W · 152 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 77c | 499.97$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…110ebacked Over | 22c | 452.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 76c | 447.82$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 23c | 421.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 21c | 339.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 21c | 300.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…e2fabacked Over | 24c | 242$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 78c | 190.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 163.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Over | 18c | 161.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 78c | 83.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 79c | 71.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 79c | 57.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 23c | 55.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…a373backed Over | 21c | 51.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 79c | 44.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…94ecbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 77c | 35.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Under | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceColombia won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Ghana (-3.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.