Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca4c8e1e8b01cfe5cb813d876450efe4aa50fd25b01ded8bd8e181bd0555ed23

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $561,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $678,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,362 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under	7c	99,870$6,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,990.91	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	9c	55,373$4,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,948.93	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Under	8c	44,735$3,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,488.79	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under	8c	12,515$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.18	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under	8c	12,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under	9c	11,576$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.83	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	7c	4,828$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.22	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under	1c	4,500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	100	14%14 W · 86 L	+11.0wins	+0.11per pick	3cpaid	+445.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	3c	4,053$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.69	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Under	9c	3,893$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.34	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under	8c	3,790$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under	9c	3,150$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Under	9c	2,800$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	73	68.5%50 W · 23 L	+12.2wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under	8c	2,598$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.83	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	9c	2,592$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.78	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under	1c	2,502$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.02	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	3cpaid	+348.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under	1c	2,400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	99	10.1%10 W · 89 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	3cpaid	+194.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under	8c	2,360$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.6	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	7c	2,293$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.5	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	8c	2,250$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under	10c	2,095$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	122	24.6%30 W · 92 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Under	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	2cpaid	+214.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	7c	1,894$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.5	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	8c	1,544$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	158	46.2%73 W · 85 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	8c	1,281$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.34	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	9c	1,250$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.5	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	7c	1,207$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.21	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under	10c	1,110$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	174	42%73 W · 101 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	8c	1,007$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.54	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	8c	981.63$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.53	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	8c	890.12$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.05	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under	7c	813.21$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	7c	792.49$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.47	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	7c	768$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.76	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	7c	714.74$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.99	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	7c	673.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.06	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8202…f6a5backed Under	9c	505.44$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.49	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	7c	504.04$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under	7c	469$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.83	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under	8c	450$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	9c	438.36$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f4…7c74backed Under	11c	423.65$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	9c	399.98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab70…0322backed Under	8c	363.75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under	8c	311.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	107	15%16 W · 91 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	7c	259.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Under	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	249	35.3%88 W · 161 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	9c	240$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	294	50%147 W · 147 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…fda7backed Under	7c	230$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2264…7341backed Under	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	248	25.8%64 W · 184 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	8c	185$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15e…7c54backed Under	9c	162.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8111…4c2cbacked Under	8c	157.75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.62	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	8c	154.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Under	9c	153.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	209	42.6%89 W · 120 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	240	43.3%104 W · 136 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Under	9c	133.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+11.9wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5this page
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 0.5Over won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceColombia won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Ghana won
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Ghana won
Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Ghana won
Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Ghana won
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Colombia won
Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Colombia won
Spread: Ghana (-3.5)Colombia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event