TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75cc…51a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12032.5%39 W · 81 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.95
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
France vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?backed Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$236
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.25
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$579.98
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$740
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$90.19
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked Polar Squad Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked 3v Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked SDM Tigres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$76.98
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$84.97
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-57.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.