Fifa International · resolved market
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x543e83aca1eabfc5b66d3ac8cedbb3b87ee497f7ecc3f9ef9d296435fe164dcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…855dbacked Yes | 19c | 3,226$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.53 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b40…0860backed Yes | 19c | 1,858$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…0721backed Yes | 20c | 1,003$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.82 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked No | 1c | 992.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 576.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.68 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 80c | 546$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 80c | 491.6$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.28 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 80c | 422.11$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.69 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 19c | 380.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.89 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 367.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…e741backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…9574backed Yes | 18c | 266.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…de70backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…2476backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 197.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…645fbacked Yes | 20c | 140$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0484backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 31c | 125.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…81b4backed Yes | 25c | 118.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed No | 69c | 110$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…51a3backed Yes | 18c | 109.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2640…38f7backed Yes | 20c | 100.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 199 | 44.2%88 W · 111 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 166 | 29.5%49 W · 117 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…e395backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73fb…ed58backed Yes | 27c | 83.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 20c | 72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 18c | 66.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 71c | 34.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assiststhis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsYes won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 4+ shotsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsNo won
- Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Jordan Pickford: 3+ savesYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.