TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2627…fa13backed Over50c1,439$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.4111940.3%48 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under50c1,434$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.043,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over48c1,099$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2688950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c1,039$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.51,30138.6%502 W · 799 L-65.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over51c1,013$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.277460.8%45 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Under50c979.68$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8416933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c918.4$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.562,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Over48c599.97$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9834568.7%237 W · 108 L+24.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over56c579.08$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.442149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under49c553.25$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3121844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under50c524.72$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.682,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5d…91d8backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605149%25 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25511434.2%39 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Under23c413.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4337554.4%204 W · 171 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Under52c407.29$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.798943.8%39 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under32c366.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6996149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Under49c330$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.71,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Under46c325.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7086…eaddbacked Under42c324$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.08714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-70.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Under52c321.15$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16749451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed Under52c320.31$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5124945.8%114 W · 135 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442a…e0f6backed Under43c315.17$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4841backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1293545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Under22c299.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.986445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under13c270.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7416819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Under50c269.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13560538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over49c232.59$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.626338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Under30c225.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.868342.2%35 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Under46c211.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.797741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0821352.6%112 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under52c201.81$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8216047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11028035%98 W · 182 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7119…db8dbacked Over51c194.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.335149%25 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x04ab…5315backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed Under52c190.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e5d…d8b5backed Under11c150$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under51c148.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.94252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under51c147.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3115243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x124a…3741backed Over49c147.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9911438.6%44 W · 70 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Under52c121.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312644.4%56 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Over54c120.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5145444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under16c119.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0312221.3%26 W · 96 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked Over49c112.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.174553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under52c101.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112746.5%59 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4637342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf9…2968backed Over55c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.367846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c68.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.111,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcae…8b25backed Under52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358942.7%38 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over60c67.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8624356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5283…b53cbacked Under50c60.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025148.2%121 W · 130 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411257.1%64 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db2…f119backed Under33c59.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.791942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over56c58.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7825551.4%131 W · 124 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under51c57.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0724544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Under44c56.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525332%81 W · 172 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under50c55.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7816346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75cc…51a3backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.529643.6%129 W · 167 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d7…0917backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae5…8386backed Under44c45.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Over54c44.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4435448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015745.9%72 W · 85 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56b0…551abacked Under46c43.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012743.3%55 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6713444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807a…3be2backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823171%22 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+55.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5534…eb60backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.864146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Under49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1915950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d9…da1fbacked Under49c36.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked Under43c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149334.4%32 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Under52c31.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1739652%206 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc90e…c7b6backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6748…3c4cbacked Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.211949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under50c26.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2716654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Under46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.513966.9%93 W · 46 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d82…c734backed Over49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…a78bbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x284c…1934backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce61…a87fbacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d3…be06backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020748.3%100 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242251.7%218 W · 204 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc91…fcabbacked Over65c18.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.469046.7%42 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.