Lol · resolved market
First Blood in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69b5dc14f48d986d32590684188c23185b4366b119efc83160c619ea150eaa14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Life Esportsof Hanwha Life Esports, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Hanwha Life Esports | 58c | 856.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.36 | 177 | 29.9%53 W · 124 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Hanwha Life Esports | 54c | 337.7$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked LYON | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked LYON | 41c | 299.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed LYON | 41c | 264.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked LYON | 46c | 236.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed LYON | 43c | 109.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 276 | 38.4%106 W · 170 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Hanwha Life Esports | 58c | 107.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb58b…a4e9backed Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked LYON | 39c | 76.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked LYON | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked LYON | 55c | 54.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 47.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed LYON | 46c | 43.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…491dbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…f119backed Hanwha Life Esports | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…e06cbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 36.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…81d1backed Hanwha Life Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bed…90b7backed Hanwha Life Esports | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…b040backed Hanwha Life Esports | 61c | 32.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a40cbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked LYON | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…f51abacked LYON | 46c | 25.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…a87fbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Hanwha Life Esports | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- First Blood in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.