TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over51c25,274$12,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,384.3433838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under49c25,009$12,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,254.391,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under54c15,888$8,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,579.511,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under45c15,563$7,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,003.4232555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over46c14,598$6,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,882.9720546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over58c12,061$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,010.8222355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under50c11,582$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,79138235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,709.961,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c6,457$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.12,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1bb…e21abacked Under51c6,248$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Over49c5,858$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,987.5235448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c5,225$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.331,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124a…3741backed Under50c4,508$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.7111438.6%44 W · 70 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04014852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over49c3,862$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.6246050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Over55c3,646$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.2715443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Over55c3,645$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.4535353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over48c3,584$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.9212843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Under53c3,558$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.53860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Under55c3,463$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.966460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over54c3,330$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.0666058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over47c3,105$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.6627142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Over47c2,962$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.6424434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over50c2,870$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.086858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over49c2,783$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.0516933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over48c2,737$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.961216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under55c2,622$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.961,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under57c2,416$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.756051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over42c2,250$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.9957957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under32c2,240$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.26653%35 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Over47c2,122$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.4721440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over49c2,080$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.786552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f1…f53fbacked Over48c2,071$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Over47c2,034$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.274546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44cd…473bbacked Over50c2,020$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0102352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under46c1,774$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.351,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over49c1,600$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.4622748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca53…2dffbacked Over63c1,584$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.961225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over47c1,553$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.1910046%46 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under33c1,499$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.72,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over50c1,361$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.8521751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed Under54c1,349$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.522528%7 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under56c1,115$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.5123948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under51c1,091$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.1469741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Over46c1,062$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.276342.9%27 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over44c1,061$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.131,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.1124643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under53c996$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.3125342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over48c995$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.421844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under50c986.12$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.0212341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Under53c965$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.453046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under48c827.48$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.172,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under50c815.2$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.61,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over49c810.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.1720143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6a…681dbacked Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over56c793.64$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.3897854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under54c626.13$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.112,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under61c619.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.741,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Under52c617$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1637950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under54c592.94$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.731,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32a…1f66backed Under54c583.33$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3153225%8 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47dc…ffaabacked Under50c579.15$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.582931%9 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over51c570.26$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5514732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f0…ff70backed Under51c552.59$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.824553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over47c527.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5428643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Under60c515.59$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8512444.4%55 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over54c505.88$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.593050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26514753.1%78 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27016047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25012436.3%45 W · 79 L-16.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Over47c488.6$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe7…ca35backed Over50c475.72$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.865257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under52c457.81$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.066240.3%25 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Over46c430.2$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d0…d98bbacked Under51c430$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.33461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under51c419.04$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7116654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Over50c411.22$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Under52c410.69$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick61cpaid-58.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under36c399.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Over45c399.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.998547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…ebe7backed Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d43…8f8cbacked Over50c390.42$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a6…cf4bbacked Under51c390.2$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a8…1c4ebacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70d8…d2babacked Over50c362.96$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.484845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over49c362.59$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4835442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under52c352.14$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0931646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Over47c351.17$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.123948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Under50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3574…df5ebacked Under53c334$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…b02abacked Over47c334$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Under51c330$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.531849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked Over50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under51c318.6$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4911561.7%71 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Over50c311.98$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.999253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Over50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15518841%77 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over48c307.52$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0415243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over50c304$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15237640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.