TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e0d…9bbd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.33
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$9
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+236.9%+$899.29
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$981.84
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.98
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980.25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,055.88
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$857.27
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.19
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.03
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.29
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$383.94
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$132
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.4
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.82
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.05
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+420.3%+$2,598.43
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$914.11
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85%+$15.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$19.76
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+202.1%+$133.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$38.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,829Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+141.5%+$2,588.11
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$230.89
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$720.42
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,585.78
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$189.18
LoL: G2 NORD vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+251%+$334.63
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.22
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$903.89
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.28
LoL: G2 NORD vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.13
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.61
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Dbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.33
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$208.55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$101.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$236.15
Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Daniel de Jongebacked Daniel de Jonge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$9.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$46.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$693.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+45%+$10.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.