CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaededac132524b56dfef45de02f5348c89e8540090b6b99cb37ef1f7e9e3f2dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,764$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.75 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 45c | 1,030$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.68 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Under | 55c | 898.34$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.3 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 50c | 295.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 49c | 197.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Over | 49c | 196.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 193.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under | 47c | 193.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Under | 54c | 186.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 51c | 155.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 12c | 154.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 51c | 135.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 106.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 48c | 104.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…eab3backed Over | 49c | 102.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Over | 49c | 101.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 86.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 53c | 81.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Over | 49c | 65.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 51c | 55.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…b14abacked Over | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…5968backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 79.3%46 W · 12 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Under | 52c | 38.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 48c | 31.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…6555backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Over | 67c | 27.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 41c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Over | 75c | 25.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…1d52backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…5b7bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…22f7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…c560backed Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)TYLOO won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)TYLOO won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.