CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d995cf9c8f516c42535372530411465ce8db5ed26a2f24a7dc1e66cf5d607c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof 9z, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked TYLOO | 67c | 1,819$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.17 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 9z | 33c | 1,383$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.48 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked 9z | 33c | 736$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked TYLOO | 66c | 505$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked TYLOO | 67c | 505$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked TYLOO | 71c | 504.92$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed TYLOO | 67c | 397.47$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 9z | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed 9z | 27c | 221.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked 9z | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 9z | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed TYLOO | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked TYLOO | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked 9z | 27c | 41.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed TYLOO | 71c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)TYLOO won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.