CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93cfcf088b49503482696239c9c8333023b4290d9b575ddd955dd6c21bfa6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof 9z, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked TYLOO | 69c | 1,430$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.44 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed 9z | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 9z | 31c | 1,086$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.62 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked TYLOO | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked 9z | 32c | 404.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 502 | 51%256 W · 246 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…2573backed 9z | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed 9z | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed TYLOO | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO | 69c | 261.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…bfd0backed TYLOO | 69c | 197.82$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked 9z | 32c | 154.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked TYLOO | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed TYLOO | 70c | 140.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed 9z | 30c | 136.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked 9z | 31c | 123.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked 9z | 31c | 120.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed TYLOO | 68c | 103.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 9z | 33c | 79.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…aca5backed 9z | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed TYLOO | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed TYLOO | 70c | 70.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed 9z | 30c | 70.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed TYLOO | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked 9z | 32c | 69.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked 9z | 29c | 59.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed TYLOO | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed TYLOO | 69c | 31.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed 9z | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…19ddbacked TYLOO | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed TYLOO | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed TYLOO | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…ae1fbacked TYLOO | 67c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)TYLOO won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.