TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6eb1…eab3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT6259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Abacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.83
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.4
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Cbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$134.82
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$47.69
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$52.82
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$17.36
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Metizport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$25.12
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Winter Bear vs Level UP (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Winter Bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$16.43
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Pandora Kris (BO3) - Tennisi Stampede Champions Group Stagebacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.