TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxoof Patins da Ferrari, Fluxo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Fluxo66c15,717$10,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,302.6975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Patins da Ferrari32c8,473$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.145,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Fluxo67c6,002$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.5784958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Fluxo65c4,067$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.2866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d2e…826dbacked Fluxo66c3,825$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Patins da Ferrari37c3,121$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.4427940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Patins da Ferrari1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Patins da Ferrari33c1,849$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.8638841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Patins da Ferrari32c1,584$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.782,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Patins da Ferrari33c1,524$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9146555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Patins da Ferrari32c1,246$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.824057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Patins da Ferrari34c1,219$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.942,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo77c1,011$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.911,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Patins da Ferrari32c924.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Patins da Ferrari31c880.59$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.252,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Patins da Ferrari25c796.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x207b…8118backed Patins da Ferrari38c793.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.262433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Patins da Ferrari37c778.38$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28835839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Patins da Ferrari34c588.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.265,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Patins da Ferrari20c512.85$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0241938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe4…8cafbacked Patins da Ferrari34c472.03$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.495834.5%20 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed Patins da Ferrari33c451$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.834129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Patins da Ferrari33c431$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.237245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Patins da Ferrari32c430$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.69732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Patins da Ferrari33c421.27$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.025046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Patins da Ferrari33c410$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.312334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Patins da Ferrari35c402.24$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7820045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed Patins da Ferrari35c384.25$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.386346%29 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Patins da Ferrari22c378.19$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.484,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed Patins da Ferrari36c377$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.725742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Patins da Ferrari37c376.49$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.37742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Fluxo65c372.85$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.711,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Patins da Ferrari34c371.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3210731.8%34 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Fluxo68c352.87$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9264854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Patins da Ferrari33c300.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Patins da Ferrari37c300$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11091945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Fluxo67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.514751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Fluxo77c281$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6315648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fluxo70c279.65$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.831,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked Patins da Ferrari33c260$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.87540%30 W · 45 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Patins da Ferrari34c257.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5530859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Patins da Ferrari36c248.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.337855.1%43 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Patins da Ferrari36c248.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.335641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Patins da Ferrari12c239.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5337922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Fluxo66c235.85$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.453959%23 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Fluxo68c233.52$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5728173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Fluxo58c223.38$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8220147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Fluxo68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5939955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Patins da Ferrari32c219.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3922729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x285b…df1ebacked Fluxo66c216$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4415247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Patins da Ferrari36c211.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1718645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Patins da Ferrari34c209.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7199148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Patins da Ferrari41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8252150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Patins da Ferrari34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed Patins da Ferrari34c193$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7614439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.54,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Fluxo78c186$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9262248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fluxo72c162.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.082,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Patins da Ferrari33c153.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7648851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Patins da Ferrari34c147.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Patins da Ferrari9c131.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.347726%20 W · 57 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Fluxo68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Patins da Ferrari33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.624840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Fluxo67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.48947.2%42 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Patins da Ferrari21c107.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Patins da Ferrari36c103.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.416040%24 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Fluxo70c102.22$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.222770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Patins da Ferrari36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Fluxo67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3365946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Patins da Ferrari25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253020%6 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed Patins da Ferrari34c95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.541437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Patins da Ferrari33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb1…eab3backed Fluxo67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.556259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Patins da Ferrari34c88.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.973828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77e6…0ae1backed Patins da Ferrari23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Patins da Ferrari34c86.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4219151.8%99 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Patins da Ferrari34c83.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.332458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Patins da Ferrari33c80.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.564339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Patins da Ferrari34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Patins da Ferrari30c72.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6829731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Patins da Ferrari35c71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8525643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0936…3833backed Fluxo67c70$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.16651.5%34 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Patins da Ferrari35c68.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8760954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9107…75e0backed Patins da Ferrari29c67.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.726924.6%17 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed Patins da Ferrari18c66.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.857052.9%37 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Patins da Ferrari37c65.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1429044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Fluxo67c59.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.865548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Patins da Ferrari34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f3…ac83backed Patins da Ferrari37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Patins da Ferrari33c53.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6913852.9%73 W · 65 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Patins da Ferrari37c53.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.638737.9%33 W · 54 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb87b…c107backed Fluxo67c53.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fluxo66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1724746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Patins da Ferrari33c49.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Fluxo67c44.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7417067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Patins da Ferrari36c44.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8816754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Fluxo76c43.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.396543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Patins da Ferrari26c42.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.272,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d8…df71backed Patins da Ferrari35c42.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94045%18 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Patins da Ferrari33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.536450%32 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.