CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc655d9461cd83c1d1c3e02d4bdff957284088a5f39f6ee1f140d00eeef65c74e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxoof Patins da Ferrari, Fluxo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fluxo | 64c | 2,255$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.33 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Patins da Ferrari | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Patins da Ferrari | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.31 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Fluxo | 57c | 995.76$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.18 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Patins da Ferrari | 52c | 910.9$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Patins da Ferrari | 35c | 597.42$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Patins da Ferrari | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Patins da Ferrari | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Patins da Ferrari | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Fluxo | 57c | 302.57$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo | 64c | 301.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…a733backed Patins da Ferrari | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Patins da Ferrari | 69c | 270.66$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Fluxo | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Fluxo | 58c | 256.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Fluxo | 44c | 228.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Patins da Ferrari | 47c | 202.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Fluxo | 71c | 189.77$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fluxo | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 38c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Fluxo | 62c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Fluxo | 43c | 159.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Fluxo | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…3683backed Patins da Ferrari | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Patins da Ferrari | 57c | 147.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed Patins da Ferrari | 42c | 141.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Patins da Ferrari | 43c | 134.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Fluxo | 78c | 128.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Fluxo | 50c | 117.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Fluxo | 41c | 108.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Patins da Ferrari | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Fluxo | 61c | 87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Patins da Ferrari | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fluxo | 51c | 70.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Patins da Ferrari | 49c | 70.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Fluxo | 70c | 67.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed Fluxo | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Patins da Ferrari | 58c | 48.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…9cd3backed Fluxo | 66c | 44.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fluxo | 61c | 40.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Fluxo | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Patins da Ferrari | 59c | 35.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Fluxo | 70c | 33.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed Fluxo | 59c | 33.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Fluxo | 56c | 33.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Fluxo | 44c | 31.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…9164backed Fluxo | 59c | 29.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fluxo | 54c | 28.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked Fluxo | 51c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fluxo | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Fluxo | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Fluxo | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo - Map 1 WinnerFluxo won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.