CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb1babb61af5a4dc87b09047339e452e0d39abfbe78f770395aff99d3b36b83f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxoof Patins da Ferrari, Fluxo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Patins da Ferrari | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Patins da Ferrari | 32c | 529.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Patins da Ferrari | 43c | 462.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo | 56c | 349.87$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fluxo | 58c | 315.95$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Patins da Ferrari | 34c | 256.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Fluxo | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…bf2dbacked Patins da Ferrari | 42c | 233$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Patins da Ferrari | 38c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Fluxo | 62c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Patins da Ferrari | 35c | 147.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo | 64c | 118.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Patins da Ferrari | 47c | 105.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Patins da Ferrari | 17c | 79.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Patins da Ferrari | 24c | 77.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…3833backed Fluxo | 62c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Patins da Ferrari | 33c | 53.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Fluxo | 56c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fluxo | 62c | 47.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Fluxo | 64c | 46.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Fluxo | 66c | 45.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Fluxo | 68c | 44.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Fluxo | 78c | 34.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Patins da Ferrari | 40c | 33.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Patins da Ferrari | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Patins da Ferrari | 36c | 30.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Fluxo | 64c | 23.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Fluxo | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Fluxo | 63c | 19.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Fluxo - Map 2 WinnerFluxo won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.