CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dbbfdcec6cc170248c9267db78a16c656b839076e2e7816b369889b57c43786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Atreides, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atreides | 30c | 2,063$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.03 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 50c | 1,778$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 9c | 1,352$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 39c | 752.07$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Just Players | 55c | 579.65$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.29 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Atreides | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Atreides | 34c | 499.18$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Just Players | 48c | 492.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Atreides | 13c | 417.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 50c | 381.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 20c | 362.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atreides | 13c | 343.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Players | 45c | 316.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.51 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 24c | 216$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Atreides | 52c | 192.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…5042backed Atreides | 52c | 192.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Atreides | 54c | 187.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…e584backed Atreides | 35c | 182.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Just Players | 45c | 166.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Atreides | 34c | 156$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…eab3backed Atreides | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 45c | 138.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atreides | 30c | 137$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Just Players | 67c | 115.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Just Players | 66c | 112$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Atreides | 53c | 106.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atreides | 50c | 99.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 50c | 96.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Just Players | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Atreides | 56c | 75.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atreides | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Atreides | 55c | 62.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Just Players | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Just Players | 54c | 56.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Just Players | 45c | 54.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Just Players | 50c | 51.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Just Players | 55c | 50.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Just Players | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Just Players | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Atreides | 31c | 43.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Atreides | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Just Players | 49c | 38.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Just Players | 44c | 36.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Just Players | 45c | 33.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Just Players | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Atreides | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Atreides | 61c | 28.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Atreides | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Just Players | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Atreides | 43c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Just Players | 55c | 23.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Just Players | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Atreides | 47c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Just Players | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Just Players | 54c | 21.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed Atreides | 52c | 21.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed Just Players | 51c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.