CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3cfcb5a13c2ab32369a3bbc0b0fa3493675b726aea4231993638d9d5bb667f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Atreides, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Just Players | 69c | 1,726$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.73 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Atreides | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 14c | 352.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Atreides | 44c | 287.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Atreides | 22c | 265$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Atreides | 33c | 249.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Atreides | 27c | 217.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Atreides | 22c | 199.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 14c | 181.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Atreides | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Just Players | 72c | 152.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Atreides | 55c | 148.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Just Players | 45c | 118.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 21c | 105.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Atreides | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Atreides | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Atreides | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Just Players | 45c | 29.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Just Players | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group CJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.