CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c967471210c961dbc721b20a75604b0da4d089fd455158f146f861ab0b13ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Atreides, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Atreides | 1c | 2,793$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Atreides | 2c | 1,188$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0af5backed Atreides | 6c | 1,064$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 55c | 430$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Just Players | 57c | 400.51$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atreides | 50c | 373.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 57c | 224.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 50c | 172.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Just Players | 53c | 157$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides | 14c | 150.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atreides | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atreides | 39c | 112$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Atreides | 33c | 111.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Just Players | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 36c | 93.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Just Players | 47c | 88.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 309 | 38.5%119 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Just Players | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Just Players | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 265 | 44.2%117 W · 148 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Atreides | 42c | 77.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Atreides | 43c | 69.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 40c | 67.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Atreides | 18c | 66.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Just Players | 54c | 65.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 26c | 59.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Atreides | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 52c | 39.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 53c | 37.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Just Players | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Just Players | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Just Players | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Just Players | 78c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group CJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.