CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5bb4b23db35aed3c4120e14aa5edfe4b4ce5391df192d4d19b65fa17c040db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 545$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.04 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 45c | 296.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.94 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 42c | 268.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.63 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Under | 45c | 171.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 39c | 115.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Under | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 49c | 97.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 96.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 49c | 93.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 49c | 93.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…eab3backed Over | 54c | 92.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed Over | 54c | 91.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 45c | 76.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 52c | 75.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 44c | 61.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 37.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 57c | 27.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 69c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe PlayoffsInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.