CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc76b24d2ac96f285bedce991e1de41abb1b4a87ac326300c5d1a8b3a0ef9ceb9

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, magic
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,717 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x048f…9992backed magic	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	574	0%0 W · 574 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Inner Circle Esports	57c	1,397$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.54	201	56.7%114 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked magic	17c	1,198$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	150	47.3%71 W · 79 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed Inner Circle Esports	57c	1,088$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.95	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic	45c	1,020$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.29	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed magic	55c	1,014$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.46	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Inner Circle Esports	58c	811.15$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.36	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed magic	21c	651.49$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.16	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Inner Circle Esports	61c	644.64$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.66	401	37.2%149 W · 252 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a74…7a33backed magic	16c	541.59$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic	45c	494.3$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.36	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked magic	35c	462.44$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.6	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle Esports	77c	435.31$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.82	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Esports	68c	405.17$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.18	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports	45c	396.37$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.22	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed magic	43c	384.83$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.81	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked magic	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	238	58.4%139 W · 99 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked magic	28c	345.53$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.47	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Inner Circle Esports	60c	326.26$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.26	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed magic	23c	320.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	388	35.6%138 W · 250 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed magic	47c	290.55$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.47	358	39.4%141 W · 217 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Inner Circle Esports	53c	278.63$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.75	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked magic	38c	266.65$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.65	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked magic	36c	257.59$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.96	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle Esports	58c	238.2$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.07	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed magic	16c	214$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.53	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked magic	20c	208.32$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.31	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…d7bebacked Inner Circle Esports	56c	205.53$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.53	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Inner Circle Esports	64c	176.65$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.86	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked magic	40c	170.95$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.86	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Inner Circle Esports	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	191	47.1%90 W · 101 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Inner Circle Esports	59c	162.81$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.75	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Inner Circle Esports	56c	161.17$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.26	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed magic	24c	157.48$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.14	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Inner Circle Esports	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	988	56.1%554 W · 434 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Inner Circle Esports	72c	150$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.7	324	63%204 W · 120 L	+17.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed magic	47c	132.44$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.06	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf54b…91f7backed magic	60c	126.44$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.63	165	38.8%64 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed magic	33c	122.88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.49	700	42.3%296 W · 404 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed magic	33c	119.83$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.58	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed magic	39c	110.59$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.51	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Inner Circle Esports	46c	108.69$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.69	773	51.2%396 W · 377 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked magic	42c	104.76$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	306	38.9%119 W · 187 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed magic	42c	102.38$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	309	39.2%121 W · 188 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked magic	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	919	45.8%421 W · 498 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed magic	24c	98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked magic	42c	95.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	220	37.3%82 W · 138 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked magic	43c	90.53$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	333	40.2%134 W · 199 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked magic	38c	78.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	186	47.3%88 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked magic	52c	72.25$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.63	318	45.3%144 W · 174 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Inner Circle Esports	65c	70.32$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.73	673	72.2%486 W · 187 L	+119.1wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked Inner Circle Esports	51c	67.18$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.95	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked magic	40c	67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.77	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed magic	35c	62.11$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	419	38.9%163 W · 256 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked magic	41c	56.96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	526	45.1%237 W · 289 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0936…3833backed Inner Circle Esports	54c	55.74$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.74	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf331…2489backed Inner Circle Esports	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	212	52.8%112 W · 100 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Inner Circle Esports	74c	54.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.05	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Inner Circle Esports	51c	53.52$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.3	622	48.2%300 W · 322 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed magic	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed magic	31c	46.73$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	95	33.7%32 W · 63 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd697…661dbacked magic	53c	46.04$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf13…3366backed Inner Circle Esports	49c	45.92$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.42	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-6.2wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed magic	45c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	207	42.5%88 W · 119 L	-17.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed magic	46c	45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	514	46.9%241 W · 273 L	-22.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f1f…f2f8backed Inner Circle Esports	56c	44.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	81	63%51 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked magic	28c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	415	16.6%69 W · 346 L	-36.5wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked magic	33c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked magic	37c	38.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed magic	40c	38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked magic	38c	35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ec…1a11backed magic	44c	32.93$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Inner Circle Esports	63c	31.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.72	223	46.2%103 W · 120 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Inner Circle Esports	55c	29.8$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.45	635	41.1%261 W · 374 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed Inner Circle Esports	51c	27.45$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.45	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+9.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked magic	44c	26.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…1ccabacked Inner Circle Esports	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…6a2cbacked magic	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed magic	46c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Inner Circle Esports	61c	22.16$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe PlayoffsInner Circle Esports won
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event