TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66b1…340fbacked Under49c1,567$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.041,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under45c840.27$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.1235054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c520.61$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.511,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…da4fbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under45c477.84$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.328549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over36c434.85$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.41,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under18c408.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.343,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under48c381.6$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.342,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over54c379.06$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3169445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Over57c375.95$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6625655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…81a4backed Under43c375.95$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.661353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under50c330.35$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3545238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over50c304$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15217946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Under51c302.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.528554.1%46 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over55c299.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.991,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Over35c244.97$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.078252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over49c242$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.422,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2660032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over75c226.78$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.661,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under50c216.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.212,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked Over49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.18625.6%22 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over54c205.56$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5630236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…594bbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9022757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb214…0396backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87a2…2250backed Over50c183.7$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8212157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4448562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Under43c175.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4419849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over48c142.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5728651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under50c135.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4549242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under66c121$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1123244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2220045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under49c107.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.071,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed Over50c102.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2814346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767f…533dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd7e…8970backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459453.2%50 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under60c75.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.035,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85f6…e5aebacked Over50c63.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225879.3%46 W · 12 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x680a…0a15backed Over50c51.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Over49c50.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.111764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+76.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2556454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over70c43.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9438469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under31c43.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.272,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2034742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over50c37.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.521,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb1…eab3backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9532139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6138452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.221952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158160.5%49 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87866.7%52 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked Over52c29.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.096958%40 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90d1…2cf6backed Over50c28.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.424946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over49c28.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.643,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa905…7b90backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.276157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over49c24.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.584746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4927…deaebacked Under64c22.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Over59c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1119454.1%105 W · 89 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dc…58d5backed Over49c20.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.512759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7237149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1017764.4%114 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a7…6555backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Over64c18.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.728761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Over62c17.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7941372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.