TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa905…7b90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10856.5%61 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+528.1%+$189.18
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.94
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.78
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$96.04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$72.9
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$70.72
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$27.23
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$114.55
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.36
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$12.18
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$41.28
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs magic (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$19.78
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.64
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.