CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6398f5f94b6f1fb06b1277f3279dab2126b5d04e62b32b8ebf0f895e570c917f

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,539 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd	47c	3,056$1,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,451.25	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	64c	2,355$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.15	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Bounty Hunters Esports	53c	1,846$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.42	434	55.1%239 W · 195 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd	49c	1,531$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.91	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Bounty Hunters Esports	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd	34c	1,500$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.29	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	1,500$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.39	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports	60c	1,337$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.6	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd	46c	1,303$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.96	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Keyd	53c	1,286$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.28	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Bounty Hunters Esports	60c	1,259$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.17	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Keyd	36c	711.98$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.31	550	39.6%218 W · 332 L	-20.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bounty Hunters Esports	62c	675.19$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.42	1,088	54.2%590 W · 498 L	+39.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Keyd	50c	586.45$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.65	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd	37c	522.62$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.1	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	50c	442$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221	432	37.7%163 W · 269 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Keyd	44c	417.26$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.16	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Keyd	41c	400.16$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.99	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bounty Hunters Esports	42c	400$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Bounty Hunters Esports	70c	372.21$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.66	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Keyd	37c	360.53$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.4	610	54.9%335 W · 275 L	+10.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports	64c	280$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.8	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Bounty Hunters Esports	60c	280$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	275	44%121 W · 154 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Keyd	18c	251.87$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.66	345	47.5%164 W · 181 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	61c	233.26$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.66	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	225.97$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.64	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	209$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.98	351	53.8%189 W · 162 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	49c	199.85$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.85	530	34.7%184 W · 346 L	-32.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd614…d4afbacked Keyd	55c	180.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Bounty Hunters Esports	67c	166.53$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.68	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd	50c	166.45$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.43	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bounty Hunters Esports	49c	160.49$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.05	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	159.81$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.1	226	54.9%124 W · 102 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Bounty Hunters Esports	79c	158.74$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.38	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Keyd	44c	152.82$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.16	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Bounty Hunters Esports	64c	152.21$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.85	132	58.3%77 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd	55c	152$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.86	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf3…c1fdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	64c	147.03$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.03	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd	16c	131$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.21	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Keyd	51c	119.06$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	408	57.1%233 W · 175 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x196e…9277backed Bounty Hunters Esports	49c	119.02$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.7	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	72c	112.28$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.05	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f12…3f91backed Keyd	42c	111.24$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.89	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fad…1a08backed Keyd	47c	107.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Keyd	43c	105.74$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.35	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Keyd	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	306	38.9%119 W · 187 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Keyd	50c	96.84$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.33	418	53.6%224 W · 194 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed Keyd	42c	90.48$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4127…a8cebacked Keyd	58c	86.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Keyd	51c	85.9$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.53	746	53.5%399 W · 347 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Bounty Hunters Esports	63c	79.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Keyd	48c	79.45$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.14	207	42.5%88 W · 119 L	-17.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed Keyd	39c	76.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c4…74bbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	72.98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.75	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	51c	72.22$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.07	304	50.7%154 W · 150 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	74c	70.76$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.08	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Keyd	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	45c	60$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.25	271	50.6%137 W · 134 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Keyd	49c	58.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.21	526	45.1%237 W · 289 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Keyd	50c	57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	66c	56.9$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.18	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	50c	53$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.57	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Keyd	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Bounty Hunters Esports	52c	48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Keyd	50c	46.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	241	52.3%126 W · 115 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Bounty Hunters Esports	64c	45.13$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.11	965	43.5%420 W · 545 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Bounty Hunters Esports	60c	42.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	622	48.2%300 W · 322 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Keyd	27c	41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Keyd	39c	38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	109	56.9%62 W · 47 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Bounty Hunters Esports	64c	36$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.93	406	66.3%269 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Keyd	40c	33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa905…7b90backed Bounty Hunters Esports	62c	32.18$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.18	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Keyd	48c	30.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Keyd	51c	29.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	163	61.3%100 W · 63 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Keyd	49c	21.35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	399	46.4%185 W · 214 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Keyd	48c	21.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsKeyd won
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event