CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ff7cd58a826314a386c81c4939f5b05f1b69df4b92724d7f448f78c2e643bdd

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Keydof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,891 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd	54c	1,201$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.06	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports	50c	858.37$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.25	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd	52c	771.62$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.73	1,088	54.2%590 W · 498 L	+39.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Bounty Hunters Esports	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	53	5.7%3 W · 50 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+183%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Bounty Hunters Esports	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	74	6.8%5 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+172.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports	58c	574.73$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.71	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	514$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.01	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Keyd	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.4	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	66c	347.54$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.86	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Bounty Hunters Esports	55c	327.91$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.1	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Bounty Hunters Esports	59c	302.73$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.99	186	47.3%88 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Keyd	44c	301.31$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.73	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Keyd	41c	274.36$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.05	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Bounty Hunters Esports	43c	271.69$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.78	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bounty Hunters Esports	53c	243.48$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.36	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf3…c1fdbacked Keyd	44c	227.61$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.61	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	53c	221.75$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.44	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	34c	212.53$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.62	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Bounty Hunters Esports	52c	168.69$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.99	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd	37c	160.7$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.66	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Keyd	27c	154.11$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.1	132	19.7%26 W · 106 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Bounty Hunters Esports	45c	151$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.23	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	119.43$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.48	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Keyd	58c	112.07$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.07	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Keyd	34c	106.04$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.99	95	33.7%32 W · 63 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Keyd	48c	103.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.63	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd	65c	102$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.58	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Keyd	32c	100.64$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.06	270	37.8%102 W · 168 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Bounty Hunters Esports	61c	96.55$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Bounty Hunters Esports	43c	93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.08	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Bounty Hunters Esports	53c	85.27$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.01	771	46%355 W · 416 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Bounty Hunters Esports	23c	85.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	1,078	32%345 W · 733 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	51c	84.87$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.96	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	220	37.3%82 W · 138 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fad…1a08backed Bounty Hunters Esports	66c	83.09$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.78	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd	38c	81$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.54	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Keyd	51c	76.13$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.3	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	72.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Keyd	36c	70.59$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.02	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports	64c	69$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.11	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Bounty Hunters Esports	54c	62.37$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.68	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Bounty Hunters Esports	46c	54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…d555backed Bounty Hunters Esports	55c	49.06$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.79	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Bounty Hunters Esports	61c	48.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	408	57.1%233 W · 175 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	22c	47$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bounty Hunters Esports	40c	46.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.84	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports	74c	41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.32	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Bounty Hunters Esports	63c	36$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	207	42.5%88 W · 119 L	-17.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Bounty Hunters Esports	60c	29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Bounty Hunters Esports	73c	29$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.17	664	36.6%243 W · 421 L	-35.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Keyd	52c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	380	32.1%122 W · 258 L	-18.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd50f…b948backed Keyd	49c	25.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.01	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Keyd	52c	22.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.68	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Keyd	71c	20.82$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.02	399	46.4%185 W · 214 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Keyd	55c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.63	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa77c…e948backed Bounty Hunters Esports	68c	14.96$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-6.5wins	-0.29per pick	43cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsKeyd won
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event