TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Yawara Esports, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Sharks73c7,110$5,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.831,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sharks76c4,817$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.481,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks79c3,159$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.066,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Yawara Esports38c2,834$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.5666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x752e…bfacbacked Yawara Esports26c2,610$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yawara Esports1c2,512$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.681102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yawara Esports24c2,264$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.672,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Sharks74c2,217$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.891,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2753…bb34backed Yawara Esports1c1,999$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.483751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports15c1,734$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.285,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yawara Esports24c1,387$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.3175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports28c1,345$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.135,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yawara Esports24c1,277$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.212,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Yawara Esports25c1,193$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Yawara Esports23c1,124$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7127037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yawara Esports17c1,103$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.372,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sharks73c1,037$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.751,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yawara Esports18c1,022$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18742638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yawara Esports31c1,015$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.9562248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed Yawara Esports15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yawara Esports20c995.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yawara Esports24c854.04$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7963038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yawara Esports17c775.04$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13135341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yawara Esports12c714.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.411,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sharks72c712.84$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.452,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yawara Esports12c600.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.553,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Yawara Esports2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535.7%3 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+183%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Yawara Esports2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12746.8%5 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+172.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sharks73c594.26$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.911,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Sharks75c560.61$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.157954.4%43 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Yawara Esports2c533.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-80.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0054…59ffbacked Sharks75c533.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2212957.4%74 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yawara Esports18c532.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.481,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Yawara Esports20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sharks73c499.99$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.72,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Yawara Esports35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yawara Esports27c465.42$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.592,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff20…9cb8backed Sharks74c424.29$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.29366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Yawara Esports17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6840542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Yawara Esports7c352.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.372,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yawara Esports17c351.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.182,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…3c88backed Sharks74c337.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Yawara Esports13c308.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.051,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yawara Esports30c301.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.442,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed Sharks67c294.74$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.874266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yawara Esports35c288.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yawara Esports11c277.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8860%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Sharks77c260.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7852456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yawara Esports31c250$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.58946.1%41 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Yawara Esports23c240.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3139440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Yawara Esports21c240$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.415246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Sharks69c237.61$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.414,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports18c226.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.114,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Sharks76c223$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3312071.7%86 W · 34 L+16.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Yawara Esports23c217.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Sharks66c210.64$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1928173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe721…62e3backed Yawara Esports10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Yawara Esports27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543020%6 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yawara Esports27c195.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.24753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafeb…6da8backed Sharks74c194.79$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.191752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Sharks65c188.2$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8717055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Yawara Esports40c181.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.113253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Sharks73c181.58$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.994,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yawara Esports22c173.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9488330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Sharks79c173.32$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8113871%98 W · 40 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yawara Esports30c172.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.671,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8c…500abacked Yawara Esports32c170.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.192138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Sharks76c159.14$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5840140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Sharks77c156.26$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2660953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yawara Esports14c153$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4233627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yawara Esports27c150.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports21c150$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.913,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yawara Esports32c148.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5623244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yawara Esports25c116.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6960032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yawara Esports24c114.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.063,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Sharks66c113.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6449651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Sharks64c111.16$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Yawara Esports18c100.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Sharks68c100.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4552369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Sharks60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28ac…2fb7backed Sharks70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.517866.3%118 W · 60 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Yawara Esports13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Yawara Esports40c99.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.289561.1%58 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Sharks60c99.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1818647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…1ccabacked Sharks76c98.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.135160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Yawara Esports41c97.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yawara Esports23c91.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.892,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Sharks66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9129156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…fd40backed Yawara Esports28c89.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Sharks77c87.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.017855.1%43 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Sharks77c87.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.013959%23 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Sharks69c86.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7612450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Sharks58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2112748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yawara Esports24c86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7691743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Yawara Esports25c76.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7972139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yawara Esports17c76.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9280740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Yawara Esports27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207959.5%47 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sharks77c72.47$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.712,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Sharks59c71.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.195451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Sharks73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4933553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.